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Where will the DJIA close on Wednesday, August 13, 2008?

Settled as DJIA will close between 11,500.01 and 11,600.00

Settled as between 11500.01 and 11600.00, as the DJIA closed at 11532.96

Background:

A step back on Tuesday...does that lead to a step forward on Wednesday?

Market suspends 15 minutes prior to closing.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

DJIA will close at or below 11,400.00
3%
DJIA will close between 11,400.01 and 11,500.00
37%
DJIA will close between 11,500.01 and 11,600.00
52%
DJIA will close between 11,600.01 and 11,700.00
7%
DJIA will close between 11,700.01 and 11,800.00
1%
DJIA will close between 11,800.01 and 11,900.00
0%
DJIA will close between 11,900.01 and 12,000.00
0%
DJIA will close at or above 12,000.01
0%
Activity: H$36,753
Settled as DJIA will close between 11,500.01 and 11,600.00 on Wed 13th Aug 1:13pm PDT

Suspend date: Wed 13th Aug 12:45pm PDT Settlement date: Wed 13th Aug 1:13pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 13th Aug 12:45pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: DJIA will close at or below 11,400.00: 3%, DJIA will close between 11,400.01 and 11,500.00: 8%, DJIA will close between 11,500.01 and 11,600.00: 18%, DJIA will close between 11,600.01 and 11,700.00: 24%, DJIA will close between 11,700.01 and 11,800.00: 19%, DJIA will close between 11,800.01 and 11,900.00: 14%, DJIA will close between 11,900.01 and 12,000.00: 10%, DJIA will close at or above 12,000.01: 4%

Action history:

Created Tue 12th Aug 2:10pm PDT by bayoubear[Admin]
Suspended Wed 13th Aug 12:45pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Wed 13th Aug 1:10pm PDT by pixelpaws: Closed at 11,532

http://finance.google.com/finance?cid=983582
Settled as 'DJIA will close between 11,500.01 and 11,600.00' Wed 13th Aug 1:13pm PDT by bayoubear[Admin]: Settled as between 11500.01 and 11600.00, as the DJIA closed at 11532.96

Suspend date: Wed 13th Aug 12:45pm PDT Settlement date: Wed 13th Aug 1:13pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 13th Aug 12:45pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (352)

352 predictions

15 weeks ago
dragon01 predicted DJIA will close between 11,400.01 and 11,500.00 (H$100 at 37%)
15 weeks ago
bobdevine predicted DJIA will close between 11,500.01 and 11,600.00 (H$555 at 54%)
15 weeks ago
dragon01 predicted DJIA will close between 11,400.01 and 11,500.00 (H$100 at 36%)
15 weeks ago
cognos[Power User] predicted DJIA will close at or below 11,400.00 (H$100 at 2%)
15 weeks ago
dragon01 predicted DJIA will close between 11,400.01 and 11,500.00 (H$20 at 35%)
more

Comments (8)

  1 rogerkni
If I might make a suggestion: I'd find the list above more natural if the higher prices were toward the top, and the lower prices toward the bottom.
posted 15 weeks ago
  2 bayoubear[Admin]
So, instead of beginning with <DJIA closes at X amount or lowe>r, you'd prefer beginning with <DJIA closes at X amount or greater>...is that what you mean?
posted 15 weeks ago
  3 rogerkni
No, what I meant was that it would be more natural if the list looked with the higher prices at the top, like this:

DJIA will close at or above 12,000.01
DJIA will close between 11,900.01 and 12,000.00
DJIA will close between 11,800.01 and 11,900.00
DJIA will close between 11,700.01 and 11,800.00
DJIA will close between 11,600.01 and 11,700.00
DJIA will close between 11,500.01 and 11,600.00
DJIA will close between 11,400.01 and 11,500.00
DJIA will close at or below 11,400.00
posted 15 weeks ago
"What we have here.......is a failure to communicate."
posted 15 weeks ago
  5 bayoubear[Admin]
A wonderful visual to go with that quote...thanks Tom

Whatcha think? Should we make a change in the ordering...open to ideas
Thanks!
posted 15 weeks ago
Don't really see the need for change. Reading up to down you go from low to high. Hardly counter-logical. LOVE the picture btw.
posted 15 weeks ago
It's all good. Just read the parameters that define the bracket you want and click your mouse. In addition, the choices are even color coded. Another way to look at it is to say that, "If it isn't broken, we still have to fix it." Bear, you have been posting this question for many months. It's your time and your effort that goes into it, so do it your way.
posted 15 weeks ago
  8 cognos[Power User]
Please!!!
Bayoubear, don't change a thing. I can dig what rogerkni is saying, but at this point it would be counterproductive. And like infernal said, it's not counter-logical.
I think the 15 minute prior to DOW is working well.
The pics have been hilarious at times.
I've been having a blast.
Cheers to you!
posted 15 weeks ago

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