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Will Katie Holmes and Tom Cruise part company in 2008?

Current forecast: 15% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 15% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

TomKat have been burning up the gossip rags ever since Tom's now infamous couch jumping incident but lately there have been rumblings that all is not right in Scientology-ville. Is it possible that Katie is chafing at all the restrictions that Scientology places on her? Or perhaps Tom's rumored controlling nature will be too much?

Tom's first marriage to Nicole Kidman lasted 10 years, but somehow this one just never seemed that stable. Do you think they can make it through the year, or will 2008 see the end of TomKat?


Settlement details: As confirmed by Tom, Katie or their publicists. They must announce a legal separation or divorce. Will not settle on media speculation.

 
Forecast history, %
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Make your prediction!

Yes
15%
No
85%
Activity: H$32,756
Question suspends in 3 weeks

Suspend date: Thu 25th Dec 3:59pm PST (3 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Tue 12th Aug 11:13pm PDT by curios
Suspended Wed 13th Aug 12:16am PDT by destry[Admin]: Flagged by admin: Obviously this market needs clear guidelines on what part company means and by when it should occur.
Unsuspended Wed 13th Aug 4:20am PDT by jenniandboys[Admin]: Market has been edited

Suspend date: Thu 25th Dec 3:59pm PST (3 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (44)

44 predictions

3 weeks ago
curios predicted No (H$215 at 79%)
3 weeks ago
bcguelph predicted No (H$500 at 79%)
5 weeks ago
bcguelph predicted No (H$500 at 79%)
6 weeks ago
daphnag predicted No (H$100 at 79%)
7 weeks ago
fleur325 predicted No (H$50 at 72%)
more

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