punditwatch
How long will Peaches Geldof's marriage last?
Turns out the "definite divorce proceedings" were all rumor -- at least according to her rep. Not sure who I believe anymore. Anyway, this market will resettle on "still together" since as far as I can tell they are still together today.
Background:
'The 19-year-old tied the knot last week with Max Drummey, 23, a member of the indie band Chester French, in a "simple, low-key ceremony" while on holiday in the United States.'
Sounds exciting to be the 19 year old daughter of rock stars, but will it mean a lasting marriage?
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source. Will be settled on announcement of annulment, unless the announcement states an annulment date in the past (in which case question settled based on actual date of annulment).
| Before September 10 (less than one month) |
| |||
| Between September 10 and October 10 (1-2 months) |
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| Between October 11 and November 11 (2-3 months) |
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| Still Together After November 11 |
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- Activity: H$27,757 |
- Predictions: 33 |
Comments: 0
Suspend date: Mon 10th Nov 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Tue 11th Nov 2008 6:48am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 10th Nov 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Before September 10 (less than one month): 25%, Between September 10 and October 10 (1-2 months): 20%, Between October 11 and November 11 (2-3 months): 20%, Still Together After November 11 : 35%
Action history:
jenniandboys![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
: Only 96 days and its over
http://www.newsoftheworld.co.uk/showbiz/66461/Peaches-Geldof-to-divorce.html
jenniandboys: One of these days I will realize how unreliable UK 'newspapers' are. Next time, we will SUSPEND on UK news and then settle on US news! jenniandboys: Turns out the "definite divorce proceedings" were all rumor -- at least according to her rep. Not sure who I believe anymore. Anyway, this market will resettle on "still together" since as far as I can tell they are still together today. 
Suspend date: Mon 10th Nov 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Tue 11th Nov 2008 6:48am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 10th Nov 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details 
Get widget!Predictions (33)
wandaoleary
predicted Still Together After November 11 (H$500 at 65%)
predicted Between October 11 and November 11 (2-3 months) (H$100 at 12%)
hillyComments (0)
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