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Olympics: Who will win more medals, Michael Phelps or Canada?

Settled as Canada

Michael Phelps won 8 medals and has completed his final event.

Canada won their 9th medal on August 18th in Trampoline. That event started at 20:25 Beijing time (or 5:25Am PST). Cut off for settlement will be at that time, as the outcome was known after this event.

http://results.beijing2008.cn/WRM/ENG/INF/GL/92A/CAN_T.shtml


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

Michael Phelps
8%
Canada
92%
Activity: H$59,699
Settled as Canada on Mon 18th Aug 10:26am PDT

Suspend date: Sun 24th Aug 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Mon 18th Aug 10:26am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 18th Aug 6:25am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Michael Phelps: 50%, Canada: 50%

Action history:

Created Thu 14th Aug 4:52pm PDT by teamdiscoverychannel
Settlement requested Mon 18th Aug 8:13am PDT by jakethesnake: Canada has more medals (9, see www.cbc.ca/olympics) than Michael Phelps, and Michael Phelps cannot get any more medals.
Suspended Mon 18th Aug 8:39am PDT by jenniandboys[Admin]: Suspended pending settlement
Settlement requested Mon 18th Aug 8:39am PDT by jenniandboys[Admin]: suspending pending settlement review (market suspended)
Settled as 'Canada' Mon 18th Aug 10:26am PDT by mrperfkt[Admin]: Michael Phelps won 8 medals and has completed his final event.

Canada won their 9th medal on August 18th in Trampoline. That event started at 20:25 Beijing time (or 5:25Am PST). Cut off for settlement will be at that time, as the outcome was known after this event.

http://results.beijing2008.cn/WRM/ENG/INF/GL/92A/CAN_T.shtml

Suspend date: Sun 24th Aug 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Mon 18th Aug 10:26am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 18th Aug 6:25am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (96)

96 predictions

15 weeks ago
bcguelph predicted Canada (H$4,000 at 99%)
15 weeks ago
bcguelph predicted Canada (H$5,000 at 98%)
15 weeks ago
natsthename predicted Canada (H$250 at 97%)
15 weeks ago
bcguelph predicted Canada (H$6,000 at 95%)
15 weeks ago
bayoubear[Admin] predicted Canada (H$2,000 at 89%)
more

Comments (9)

  1 pembeci
I vote this one as the funniest Olympics question. Sorry Canadians I couldn't help.
posted 15 weeks ago
  2 cognos[Power User]
I hope the Canadians win more medals then they have feet washed ashore ...

http://www.hubdub.com/m10847/Which_country_will_have_the_most_feet_washed_ashore
posted 15 weeks ago
you know if Michael Phelps broke off and made his own country, he'd be in 11th place for total medals and 4th place for gold medals.
posted 15 weeks ago
I would cheerlead for this question to be voided if it ties, rather than add an arbitrary "determine the winner the by value of medals" qualification, after the fact.
posted 15 weeks ago
  5 dieseldog
i have no money in the market. did phelps win anything other than gold? if not canada would win any tiebeaker done in the many other questions that might tie will be settled.
posted 15 weeks ago
  6 dieseldog
*manner
posted 15 weeks ago
  7 dieseldog
BTW..is teamdiscoverychannel a clever person or they really the discovery channel?
posted 15 weeks ago
Phelps = 8
Canada = 7 and counting
posted 15 weeks ago
  9 lvnmom22
Now it's Canada - Gold-2 Silver-2 Bronze-4 = 8 medals (so far)
posted 15 weeks ago

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