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Will President Bush Visit Vermont?

Current forecast: 20% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 20% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

Vermont, the home of Ben & Jerry's ice cream, is the only state President Bush has not visited during his term as President of the United States of America.

Why no Bush visit to Vermont? Let us count the reasons.

"He lost Vermont by 10 points in 2000 and 20 points in 2004. In both years, Vermont gave Bush fewer votes than any other state. More than 30 Vermont cities have approved resolutions calling for his impeachment. In March, Brattleboro voters approved a resolution (unenforceable, town officials say) calling for Bush and Vice President Dick Cheney to be arrested if they ever show up in town."

But would that be enough to keep the Commander in Chief away?

Vermont has the highest, per capita, number of soldiers killed in Iraq of any of the 50 states. President George H. W. Bush visited Vermont while President (it was the last state he visited), and Republican Governor of Vermont, Jim Douglas, predicts President Bush will visit before his term ends.

Will the President make a visit to Vermont?


Settlement details: Settlement date: January 20, 2009

As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Yes
20%
No
80%
Activity: H$6,141
Question suspends in 6 weeks

Suspend date: Tue 13th Jan 2009 11:59pm PST (6 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 15%

Action history:

Created Fri 15th Aug 9:56am PDT by newswrangler[Power User]

Suspend date: Tue 13th Jan 2009 11:59pm PST (6 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (20)

20 predictions

1 week ago
gtown predicted No (H$20 at 80%)
3 weeks ago
kirin predicted Yes (H$500 at 21%)
3 weeks ago
capecodviking predicted No (H$90 at 80%)
3 weeks ago
rk725 predicted No (H$200 at 80%)
15 weeks ago
newswrangler[Power User] predicted No (H$100 at 80%)
more

Comments (4)

  1 rk725
A question on settlement: the implication is that Bush, as President, will or will not visit Vermont. So any visit will have to be made as a president, which mean the visit if any will have to take place by Jan. 20, 2009. Agreed?
posted 15 weeks ago
  2 destry[Admin]
Yes. That is correct it would be be while while still serving his term as president.
posted 15 weeks ago
They also have warrants out for their arrest in Vermont....
http://impeachforpeace.org/impeach_bush_blog/?p=4661
perhaps they don't want to be arrested.....
posted 10 weeks ago
yeah, i was going to say he can't go to vermont because he's wanted there.

with any luck he'll be wanted internationally when this is over.
posted 4 weeks ago

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