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Which African nation will win the most medals at the 2008 Olympics?

Settled as Kenya

Kenya has 14 medals
Ethopia has 7 medals
Zimbabwe has 4
http://results.beijing2008.cn/WRM/ENG/INF/GL/95A/GL0000000.shtml

Background:

Traditionally, Ethiopia, Kenya and Morocco fare very well in distance events in athletics. Egypt and South Africa perform well in a variety of events. Zimbabwe's best sport is swimming.

Starting percentages are based on 2004 and current medal counts.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2004_Summer_Olympics_medal_count
http://results.beijing2008.cn/WRM/ENG/INF/GL/95A/GL0000000.shtml


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Egypt
0%
Ethiopia
1%
Kenya
95%
Morocco
0%
South Africa
0%
Zimbabwe
0%
Other African nation or tie
3%
Activity: H$33,776
Settled as Kenya on Mon 25th Aug 4:04am PDT

Suspend date: Fri 22nd Aug 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Mon 25th Aug 4:04am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 22nd Aug 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Egypt: 15%, Ethiopia: 21%, Kenya: 19%, Morocco: 10%, South Africa: 15%, Zimbabwe: 10%, Other African nation or tie: 10%

Action history:

Created Fri 15th Aug 3:17pm PDT by onedave[Power User]
Suspended Fri 22nd Aug 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'Kenya' Mon 25th Aug 4:04am PDT by jenniandboys[Admin]: Kenya has 14 medals
Ethopia has 7 medals
Zimbabwe has 4
http://results.beijing2008.cn/WRM/ENG/INF/GL/95A/GL0000000.shtml

Suspend date: Fri 22nd Aug 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Mon 25th Aug 4:04am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 22nd Aug 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (54)

54 predictions

14 weeks ago
jaspersoddity predicted Kenya (H$1,500 at 94%)
14 weeks ago
angelica predicted Other African nation or tie (H$121 at 2%)
14 weeks ago
pembeci predicted Ethiopia (H$100 at 7%)
14 weeks ago
pembeci predicted Other African nation or tie (H$50 at 5%)
14 weeks ago
onedave[Power User] predicted Kenya (H$20 at 88%)
more

Comments (1)

  1 pembeci
just adding to watch list.
posted 15 weeks ago

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