Created Sat 16th Aug 2008 10:29am PST by

cognos Level 14, Prophet (H$146,241)

Will NASA modify the Space Shuttle schedule or missions due any conflict with Russia?

Background: Will NASA modify the Space Shuttle schedule or missions?

The Space Shuttle program has ten remaining flights scheduled, and is due
to retire after it's last flight is completed. SS Endeavor, is scheduled to launch on May 31, 2010.

Of the 10 flights, 1 is for Hubble maintenance and the rest are to service and expand the International Space Station (ISS).

Russia supports the ISS in many ways, for example ...
http://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/station/structure/elements/soyuz/index.html

However,

Events in Georgia
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/26193454/

in Poland
http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-3583044,00.html

and saber-rattling by Generals
http://news-mail.blogspot.com/2008/08/russian-general-threatens-nuclear.html

and political statements
http://www.cnn.com/2008/WORLD/europe/08/12/georgia.us/index.html
http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/08/13/us.russia.diplomacy/index.html

may have an indirect impact on the Space Station.

This question asks ...

Will tensions between Russia and the West cause NASA to change the schedule or mission(s) for the shuttle fleet?

To settle as yes, changes to the schedule or mission because of Russian Geopolitik, or words to that effect, must be reported.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

Yes

10%

90%

Question suspends in 25 weeks

Activity: H$31,333
Predictions: 51
Comments: 3

Suspend date: Sun 16th May 2010 7:59am PST (25 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 20%

Action history:

Created Sat 16th Aug 2008 10:29am PST by

cognos Level 14, Prophet (H$146,241)

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Suspend date: Sun 16th May 2010 7:59am PST (25 weeks to go) details

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Predictions (51)

15 weeks ago

freeze Level 9, Expert (H$7,897)

predicted Yes (H$20 at 10%)

20 weeks ago

kolia39 Level 8, Super-Pro (H$5,930)

predicted Yes (H$20 at 27%)

29 weeks ago

infernalmachine [Power User]

predicted No (H$863 at 74%)

38 weeks ago

f248parlaycos Level 6, Player (H$2,825)

predicted No (H$57 at 72%)

43 weeks ago

oppugner Level 14, Prophet (H$113,173)

predicted No (H$100 at 72%)

Comments (3)

cognos Level 14, Prophet (H$146,241)

while this is a report of a change due to both weather and future plans, there is mention of 'relying on Russian Spacecraft'.

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/26461790/

posted 1 year ago

dragon01 Level 14, Prophet (H$118,978)

If NASA were to 'EXTEND' the life of the shuttle fleet beyond the currently planned retirement date, the reason being given "uncertainty when dealing with Russia" or words to that effect, this would obviously change the shuttle schedule, perhaps delaying the Hubble mission as an example. Would a life extension of the fleet qualify if it modifies the schedule.

posted 1 year ago

cognos Level 14, Prophet (H$146,241)

The life extension of the fleet, in and of itself, would not qualify as a Yes. The extension must be claimed to be caused by Russian disharmony, or similarly worded statements. For example, "we needed to add a few more missions to the shuttle fleet because previous missions were dependent on Russian support, which is no longer available, due 'this or that' political issue."

I hope this helps.

posted 1 year ago

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