How many countries will have more gold medals than Michael Phelps does?
Settled as 8
http://results.beijing2008.cn/WRM/ENG/INF/GL/95A/GL0000000.shtml
Phelps had 8 gold medals, 8 countries had 9 or more gold medals
Background:
4 countries currently have at least 8 gold medals
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
How many countries will have more gold medals than Michael Phelps does?
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
more than 13
Forecast history, %
Settled
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4 |
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5 |
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6 |
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7 |
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8 |
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9 |
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10 |
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11 |
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12 |
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more than 13 |
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Activity: H$25,893
Settled as
8 on Mon 25th Aug 4:01am PDT
Suspend date: Fri 22nd Aug 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Mon 25th Aug 4:01am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 22nd Aug 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods:
4: 10%, 5: 10%, 6: 10%, 7: 10%, 8: 10%, 9: 10%, 10: 10%, 11: 10%, 12: 10%, more than 13: 10%
Action history:
Suspended Fri 22nd Aug 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sun 24th Aug 10:07pm PDT by
pembeci:
Should be settled as 8.
Suspend date: Fri 22nd Aug 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Mon 25th Aug 4:01am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 22nd Aug 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Predictions (145)
145 predictions
13 weeks ago
kiwifire predicted
8 (H$140 at 76%)
Comments (5)
thomismydad![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
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: http://results.beijing2008.cn/WRM/ENG/INF/GL/95A/GL0000000.shtml
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Sorry to sound repetitious or so simple, but based on flags, thought it would be helpful to have "official" settlement details.
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