pixelpaws
Will Hillary Clinton gain or lose any delegates when nominated in Denver?
Without a base set of figures to compare the roll call to, there's no way this question can be determined. And with the unaffiliated superdelegates, you can't use the AP figures which are incomplete. Looks impossible to settle.
Background:
Question suspends before the third night of the convention, on which the roll call will be held.
* Link to AP article: http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5i9VRMevycLjQJp8Y2KbMGAUZAV8QD92I9FGG1
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
If Florida and/or Michigan are reinstated to full votes, the number of delegates they would have had will be considered the "base" for this question.
| No delegates change hands |
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| Clinton gains 10 or fewer delegates |
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| Clinton gains 11 or more delegates |
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| Obama gains 10 or fewer delegates |
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| Obama gains 11 or more delegates |
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| No roll call vote held (e.g. Clinton withdraws) |
|
- Activity: H$6,730 |
- Predictions: 31 |
Comments: 1
Suspend date: Wed 27th Aug 2008 8am PST
Initial likelihoods: No delegates change hands: 80%, Clinton gains 10 or fewer delegates: 5%, Clinton gains 11 or more delegates: 3%, Obama gains 10 or fewer delegates: 5%, Obama gains 11 or more delegates: 3%, No roll call vote held (e.g. Clinton withdraws): 4%
Action history:
pixelpaws 
destry![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
: Without a base set of figures to compare the roll call to, there's no way this question can be determined. And with the unaffiliated superdelegates, you can't use the AP figures which are incomplete. Looks impossible to settle. 
Suspend date: Wed 27th Aug 2008 8am PST details 
Get widget!Predictions (31)
krups
predicted No delegates change hands (H$20 at 45%)
valornhonor
predicted Clinton gains 11 or more delegates (H$800 at 24%)
mraleigh
pepe
predicted No delegates change hands (H$100 at 53%)Comments (1)
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