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Will it be chillier than normal in Denver during the DNC?

Settled as No

Miniumum temperature over the 3 days (during daytime high) was 75°

Background:

On August 16th a record was broken in Denver, the high temperature that day was only 58 degrees, a full five degrees colder than the previous lowest, high temperature, way back in 1890!

Market will settle for YES, if during the DNC in Denver the lowest, daytime high temperature is 56 degrees or less.

This is a correction to a previous market that was built in error with two yes options and one no option.

http://www.wunderground.com/US/CO/040.html


Settlement details: As reported at http://www.wunderground.com/US/CO/Denver.html

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
9%
No
91%
Activity: H$37,785
Settled as No on Sat 30th Aug 3:39am PDT

Suspend date: Mon 25th Aug 8:59pm PDT Settlement date: Sat 30th Aug 3:39am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 25th Aug 8:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 40%

Action history:

Created Sun 17th Aug 2:52pm PDT by valornhonor[Power User]
Suspended Mon 25th Aug 8:59pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Fri 29th Aug 11:23am PDT by rbrog77: it wasn't
Settled as 'No' Sat 30th Aug 3:39am PDT by tisha[Admin]: Miniumum temperature over the 3 days (during daytime high) was 75°

Suspend date: Mon 25th Aug 8:59pm PDT Settlement date: Sat 30th Aug 3:39am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 25th Aug 8:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (60)

60 predictions

14 weeks ago
kiwifire predicted No (H$140 at 91%)
14 weeks ago
eckertkid predicted No (H$1,000 at 90%)
14 weeks ago
bayoubear[Admin] predicted Yes (H$100 at 9%)
14 weeks ago
valornhonor[Power User] predicted Yes (H$68 at 13%)
14 weeks ago
valornhonor[Power User] predicted Yes (H$55 at 16%)
more

Comments (2)

I don't understand. Are we asking if a new lowest high is going to be set? Denver's "normal" high temp for this time of year is in the 80s.
posted 15 weeks ago
@ bout3fitty

Yes, that is what I'm asking, a new record for lowest high was just hit on the 16th, market is speculating on whether another cold snap, during the DNC, will result in another record for lowest high daytime temp.
posted 15 weeks ago

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