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Will Osama bin Laden now also personally threaten Canada (by name) before October?

Settled as No

There is no news reports of bin Laden making any such statements in the time period covered by the question.

Background:

Background: The Taliban has sent an open letter urging Canadians to push Ottawa to leave Afghanistan or face more insurgent attacks, after two Canadian aid workers were killed. (http://shrunklink.com/axop)

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Must be previously unreported and unreleased (new) audio (with or without video) authenticated by American authorities as being that of Osama bin Laden. Date of production is irrelevant.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
3%
No
97%
Settled as No on Tue 30th Sep 2008 9pm PST

Suspend date: Mon 29th Sep 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Tue 30th Sep 2008 9pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 29th Sep 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 11%

Action history:

Created Sun 17th Aug 2008 7:56pm PST by mork[Power User]
Suspended Mon 29th Sep 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'No' Tue 30th Sep 2008 9pm PST by infernalmachine[Power User]: There is no news reports of bin Laden making any such statements in the time period covered by the question.

Suspend date: Mon 29th Sep 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Tue 30th Sep 2008 9pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 29th Sep 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (79)

1 year ago
anoukaimee predicted No (H$100 at 97%)
1 year ago
apokalexsys predicted No (H$700 at 97%)
1 year ago
kiwi_dt predicted No (H$1,087 at 97%)
1 year ago
tampajb predicted No (H$100 at 97%)
1 year ago
solaxis predicted No (H$50 at 97%)

Comments (3)

@ mork

from one American to one Canadian... Your country has done more in the name of decency than most other countries in the world, I salute you. It's high time that some of the creative folks on our side of the world began to respond in kind and start releasing satyrical videos for consumption in THEIR part of the world about how the man in the street is being disadvantaged by their authorities....
posted 1 year ago
I would be nervous if I lived in Canada right about now... Osama and Obama both have activist friends that blow stuff up, and are proud about it!
posted 1 year ago
  3 ratel
I don't know, its definetly talked about but I don't think most people get nervous about it. The fact they are threatening us this way shows they really don't understand us, it will only make us less likely to leave I think.
posted 1 year ago

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