tarpash 
How much will Obama's convention speech beat McCain's in TV ratings?
McCain 5.2
Obama 5.0
Background:
--------------------------------------------------
The Democratic Convention will be held August 25-28. The Republican Convention will be held September 1-4. McCain and Obama speak on the last night of their party's convention.
All networks and cable outlets will cover these events, BUT THIS MARKET WILL SETTLE ON THE BASIS OF NBC'S RATINGS FROM 10PM-11PM ON BOTH THURSDAYS (AUG 28 & SEP 4). It would be too confusing to consider the ratings from every network, so I simply picked NBC because NBC Nightly News is rated higher than ABC World News Tonight or CBS Evening News.
--------------------------------------------------
About TV ratings for the non-Nielsen crowd: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nielsen_Ratings
"For example, Nielsen may report a show as receiving a 9.2 during its broadcast, meaning that on average 9.2 percent of [American]households were tuned in at any given moment."
For current TV ratings, check out: http://www.zap2it.com/tv/ratings/
Settlement details:
As reported by http://www.zap2it.com/tv/ratings/ or a major mainstream news source.
Settled
|
|
Obama's speech wins by 2.0 rating or under |
|
||
|
|
Obama's speech wins by 2.1 to 4.0 rating |
|
||
|
|
Obama's speech wins by 4.1 rating or more |
|
||
|
|
McCain's speech wins by any margin |
|
Suspend date: Thu 4th Sep 5pm PDT Settlement date: Sat 6th Sep 10:21am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 4th Sep 5pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Obama's speech wins by 2.0 rating or under: 40%, Obama's speech wins by 2.1 to 4.0 rating: 25%, Obama's speech wins by 4.1 rating or more: 20%, McCain's speech wins by any margin: 15%
Action history:
tarpash 
destry![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
: Unsuspended until Thursday night. tarpash: McCain's speech won the ratings battle on NBC.
McCain's speech ratings:
http://blog.zap2it.com/frominsidethebox/2008/09/ratings-nfl-kic.html
(Scroll down to the 10pm hour to see ratings)
Obama's speech ratings:
http://www.zap2it.com/tv/ratings/zap-ratings082808,0,3826321.story
destry: McCain 5.2
Obama 5.0
Suspend date: Thu 4th Sep 5pm PDT Settlement date: Sat 6th Sep 10:21am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 4th Sep 5pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (101)
101 predictions
dragonfangxl
joaoxxx
scotty45
frog
horiconfrog
tschneider81
violetplanet
coolkraft
raym823
lcsnorComments (8)
What is Hubdub?
Hubdub makes news more exciting by letting you stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real running news stories.
Join now or learn moreRelated News
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
Related tags
New in Politics » US Election 2008
Obama's speech received a 4.1 rating on NBC on Aug 28.
McCain's speech received a 5.2 rating on NBC on Sep 4.
Surprise! Surprise!
NBC carried the NFL Season opener (NY Giants against the Washington Redskins) last night, and that coverage spilled over into the NBC 10:00 - 11:00PM time period (only the NBC ratings for that time slot settles this question).
It will be interesting to see what the actual final ratings are for both speeches!
Case in point:
"JOE SCARBOROUGH: Especially when you have the media loving one candidate as much as they love Barack Obama.
CARLSON: But it's more than love. I mean, it's the kind of love that anybody who's been a 9th-grade boy understands this species of love. Do you know what I mean?"
Yup, yup, ...things that make ya say hmmm.
Please log in or join to add a comment