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Who will host the 2019 Rugby World Cup?

Current forecast: Japan (14% chance)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Japan with a probability of 14% (unchanged in last 1 day)


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Australia
11%
Ireland
11%
Italy
11%
Japan
14%
Jamaica
11%
South Africa
11%
Russia
11%
Scotland
11%
Wales
11%
Activity: H$382
Question suspends in 37 weeks

Suspend date: Wed 19th Aug 2009 4:59pm PDT (37 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Australia: 11%, Ireland: 11%, Italy: 11%, Japan: 12%, Jamaica: 11%, South Africa: 11%, Russia: 11%, Scotland: 11%, Wales: 11%

Action history:

Created Mon 18th Aug 2:48pm PDT by legojedi

Suspend date: Wed 19th Aug 2009 4:59pm PDT (37 weeks to go)
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Predictions (7)

7 predictions

5 days ago
wandaoleary predicted Italy (H$20 at 11%)
1 week ago
sionydwi predicted Japan (H$20 at 14%)
1 week ago
pacman predicted Japan (H$50 at 14%)
5 weeks ago
lachster predicted Japan (H$50 at 13%)
9 weeks ago
jamest predicted Italy (H$20 at 13%)
more

Comments (1)

  1 ianochaye
What about Argentina and Canada?
posted 1 week ago

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