How many of Toronto's 2865 stolen bicycles will owners reclaim before Sept 8?
573 bikes returned.
http://network.nationalpost.com/np/blogs/toronto/archive/2008/09/08/573-people-find-bikes-in-kenk-probe.aspx
Background:
That is just one of many questions the police and others are puzzling over after the arrest last month of Igor Kenk, the proprietor of a used-bike shop here. IHT story continues
Since Kenk's arrest in mid-July, Toronto Police have set up a warehouse to allow Torontonians who have had a bike stolen to come check if theirs is there. So far 484 have been identified and returned to their owners. There's two weeks left for owners to check for their bike (until Sept 7).
Anybody hoping to recover a bike must offer proof of ownership, such as receipts or store registrations, police said. A photo ID is also preferred. More on the story
So how many owners will have reclaimed their wheels by the deadline?
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
| 484-540 |
| |||
| 541-600 |
| |||
| 601-660 |
| |||
| 661-720 |
| |||
| 721-800 |
| |||
| 801 or more |
|
- Activity: H$5,540 |
- Predictions: 42 |
Comments: 1
Suspend date: Fri 5th Sep 2008 2pm PST
Settlement date: Mon 8th Sep 2008 4pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 5th Sep 2008 2pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: 484-540: 15%, 541-600: 20%, 601-660: 25%, 661-720: 20%, 721-800: 15%, 801 or more: 5%
Action history:
newswrangler![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
: Winning prediction = "541-600"
573 people find bikes in Kenk probe.
<http://network.nationalpost.com/np/blogs/toronto/archive/2008/09/08/573-people-find-bikes-in-kenk-probe.aspx>
infernalmachine
: 573 bikes returned.
http://network.nationalpost.com/np/blogs/toronto/archive/2008/09/08/573-people-find-bikes-in-kenk-probe.aspx
Suspend date: Fri 5th Sep 2008 2pm PST
Settlement date: Mon 8th Sep 2008 4pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 5th Sep 2008 2pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details 
Get widget!Predictions (42)
bigbear3rd
predicted 601-660 (H$50 at 22%)Comments (1)
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