ryanj![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
Which region will Gustav hit as a Hurricane first (Caribbean not included)?
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT2+shtml/011453.shtml
Background:
Current forecasts have the storm developing into a Cat. 3 in the Gulf of Mexico by Sept. 1st. If Gutav enters the Gulf the recent slide in Oil prices may be stopped by a complete shutdown of oil prices in the Gulf.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source. Storm must make landfall as a Hurricane. For market not to settle as "Hits above region as Tropical Storm." If Gustav dissipates or hits NC or SC market settles as "Other Outcome."
Settled
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Florida |
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Alabama |
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Mississippi |
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Georgia |
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Louisiana |
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Texas |
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Hits a above region as Tropical Storm |
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Other Outcome |
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Suspend date: Fri 26th Sep 4:59pm PDT Settlement date: Mon 1st Sep 2:52pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 1st Sep 7:30am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Florida: 20%, Alabama: 10%, Mississippi: 10%, Georgia: 10%, Louisiana: 10%, Texas: 20%, Hits a above region as Tropical Storm: 10%, Other Outcome: 10%
Action history:
ryanj 
onedave![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
: Please settle as 'Louisiana.' CENTER OF GUSTAV MAKES LANDFALL NEAR COCODRIE LOUISIANA http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT2+shtml/011453.shtml 
jake: http://www.cnn.com/2008/US/weather/09/01/gustav/index.html 
newswrangler: Flagged by super user: Suspended pending review of settlement links, and back-voiding of all late predictions.
"NEW ORLEANS - Packing 110 mph winds, Hurricane Gustav made landfall on the Louisiana coast on Monday. The eye landed southwest of New Orleans at Cocodrie, La., at 10:30 ET, according to the National Hurricane Center."
ryanj: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT2+shtml/011453.shtml
Suspend date: Fri 26th Sep 4:59pm PDT Settlement date: Mon 1st Sep 2:52pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 1st Sep 7:30am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
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ryanj
151 settled, 50 voided
Hit means the storm makes landfall on the region. If we had gone with it affecting weather in an area this would be to easy to settle, because Gustav will "affect" everything.
Ryan
You've got a great sense of humor and I bet your New Orleans friends are hoping to make a killing on their Hubdub Mississippi bets.....Ever thought of writing stand-up comedy?
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