
What will be the highest strength of tropical cyclone Gustav?
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT2+shtml/012051.shtml?
Market is being settled as of landfall because as of landfall there was a 99.9% probability that the storm would not strengthen to over a cat. 4
Background:>
Settlement details:
As reported by the NHC at http://www.noaawatch.gov/2008/gustav.php
Settled
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Tropical Storm |
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Category 1 Hurricane |
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Category 2 Hurricane |
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Category 3 Hurricane |
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Category 4 Hurricane |
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Category 5 Hurricane |
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Suspend date: Tue 9th Sep 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Mon 1st Sep 3:03pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 1st Sep 7:30am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Tropical Storm: 7%, Category 1 Hurricane: 50%, Category 2 Hurricane: 25%, Category 3 Hurricane: 12%, Category 4 Hurricane: 5%, Category 5 Hurricane: 1%
Action history:
http://www.weather.com/newscenter/hurricanecentral/2008/gustav.html
Predictions made after result was known ought be back-voided.
Market is being settled as of landfall because as of landfall there was a 99.9% probability that the storm would not strengthen to over a cat. 4
Suspend date: Tue 9th Sep 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Mon 1st Sep 3:03pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 1st Sep 7:30am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Predictions (265)
265 predictions
Comments (3)
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