markov 
Will Hurricane Gustav's Max Sustained Wind Speed Exceed 170 MPH?
Gustav now downgraded to tropical depression. Maximum wind speed reported 35 mph
http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5iBHjZl2_Eq6vRuqB3ltJYWohaSGwD92UG4NO1
Background:
NOTE - the suspend date has been moved to shortly after Gutav is expected to make landfall, so get your bets in quickly!
Settlement details:
The max wind speed may occur over open water or upon any landfall to settle as yes. Location of hurricane at time of max wind speed does not affect the outcome to this question. As reported by http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/#GUSTAV or a major mainstream news source.
Settled
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Yes |
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No |
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Suspend date: Tue 2nd Sep 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Tue 2nd Sep 4:53am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 2nd Sep 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 5%
Action history:
markov 
tisha![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
: Gustav has made landfall. suspended awaiting information to review settlement tisha: Gustav now downgraded to tropical depression. Maximum wind speed reported 35 mph
http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5iBHjZl2_Eq6vRuqB3ltJYWohaSGwD92UG4NO1
Suspend date: Tue 2nd Sep 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Tue 2nd Sep 4:53am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 2nd Sep 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
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New in Science » Natural Disasters
Most weather agencies use the definition for sustained winds recommended by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO), which specifies measuring winds at a height of 33 ft (10 m) for 10 minutes, and then taking the average. However, the U.S. National Weather Service defines sustained winds as average winds over a period of one minute, measured at the same 33 ft (10 m) height.
However, who is going up 33 ft. off the ground in a hurricane to make this measurement?
Personally, I doubt if we'll see 170+ mph winds...storm was weakened over Cuba and is moving so fast that it may not have enough time to get back all of its strength...most of the most recent estimates keep it at a Cat 4, winds up to 155....
Of course it will reach that speed.
Only problem is ...
Who is going to measure it?
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