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MLB: What will be the average of the top ten ERA's at the end of August, 2008?

Settled as 2.69 - 2.75

Actual avg. is 2.734.
Source:
http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/stats/byposition?pos=SP,RP

Background:

There are currently 10 pitchers in MLB with an ERA under 3.00. The average of these top 10 pitchers is 2.698. When the last game on August 31st is over what will be the new average of the top 10 pitchers? Look here for help:
http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/stats/byposition?pos=SP,RP

Method used is to add up the top 10 ERA's and divide by ten, hence the 3 place decimal answer.

Will suspend at 9PM ET on Saturday Aug. 30, 2008.


Settlement details: As reported by Yahoo at http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/stats/byposition?pos=SP,RP

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

2.53 or Lower Average ERA
1%
2.54 - 2.58
3%
2.59 - 2.63
3%
2.64 - 2.68
17%
2.69 - 2.75
37%
2.76 - 2.80
24%
2.81 - 2.85
7%
2.86 - 2.90
3%
2.91 - 2.95
2%
2.96 or Higher Average ERA
3%
Activity: H$7,428
Settled as 2.69 - 2.75 on Mon 1st Sep 1:16pm PDT

Suspend date: Sat 30th Aug 6pm PDT Settlement date: Mon 1st Sep 1:16pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 30th Aug 6pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 2.53 or Lower Average ERA: 2%, 2.54 - 2.58: 5%, 2.59 - 2.63: 10%, 2.64 - 2.68: 15%, 2.69 - 2.75: 19%, 2.76 - 2.80: 17%, 2.81 - 2.85: 15%, 2.86 - 2.90: 10%, 2.91 - 2.95: 5%, 2.96 or Higher Average ERA: 2%

Action history:

Created Tue 26th Aug 2:42pm PDT by buckeyetom
Suspended Sat 30th Aug 6pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Mon 1st Sep 10:52am PDT by buckeyetom: Winning bracket is 2.69 to 2.75.
Actual avg. is 2.734.
Source:
http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/stats/byposition?pos=SP,RP
Settled as '2.69 - 2.75' Mon 1st Sep 1:16pm PDT by mrperfkt[Admin]: Actual avg. is 2.734.
Source:
http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/stats/byposition?pos=SP,RP

Suspend date: Sat 30th Aug 6pm PDT Settlement date: Mon 1st Sep 1:16pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 30th Aug 6pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (40)

40 predictions

11 weeks ago
xxxjetxxx predicted 2.53 or Lower Average ERA (H$20 at 1%)
11 weeks ago
xxxjetxxx predicted 2.54 - 2.58 (H$1 at 3%)
11 weeks ago
xxxjetxxx predicted 2.59 - 2.63 (H$1 at 3%)
11 weeks ago
xxxjetxxx predicted 2.91 - 2.95 (H$20 at 2%)
11 weeks ago
xxxjetxxx predicted 2.96 or Higher Average ERA (H$30 at 3%)
more

Comments (2)

It's 2.69-2.75
posted 11 weeks ago
The average of the top ten ERA's is 2.734. 27.34/10= 2.734.
posted 11 weeks ago

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