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Which HD category will match the final Hurricane of the 2008 season to hit US?

Voided

voided as per creator's request

Background:

Gustav is the 7th Hurricane of the year, (I know, currently it's a tropical storm, but will likely return to Hurricane strength after crossing Cuba) so we are 1/3 the way through the list of names allocated for 2008.

Linkage can be made between the names of the 2008 Hurricanes and the various HD categories of; Politics, Sports, Entertainment, World, Business, Technology, Science and General.

This market is speculating on WHICH Hubdub category will correspond (by my descriptions in the comments section below), to the last named Hurricane to cross a US beach or border by 11/30/08. To qualify the Hurricane will need to have sustained winds of 75mph or more at the time that it cross a US beach or border. So, look over the list, calculate how prolific you think the remainder of the hurricane season will be, and then wager on the HD category to match. If you have any questions shoot me a comment and I'll clarify it further.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Voided

Politics
17%
Sports
17%
Entertainment
17%
World
6%
Business
10%
Technology
10%
Science
6%
General
17%
Voided Thu 28th Aug 1:54am PDT

Suspend date: Sun 30th Nov 11:59pm PST (1 week to go)

Initial likelihoods: Politics: 17%, Sports: 17%, Entertainment: 17%, World: 6%, Business: 10%, Technology: 10%, Science: 6%, General: 17%

Action history:

Created Wed 27th Aug 6:16am PDT by valornhonor[Power User]
Suspended Wed 27th Aug 2:53pm PDT by valornhonor[Power User]: Flagged by super user: Please void.

Thanks.

Adam
Voided Thu 28th Aug 1:54am PDT by tisha[Admin]: voided as per creator's request

Suspend date: Sun 30th Nov 11:59pm PST (1 week to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (10)

10 predictions

12 weeks ago
cici predicted Politics (H$200 at 19%)
12 weeks ago
chull predicted Science (H$20 at 6%)
12 weeks ago
chull predicted Entertainment (H$20 at 17%)
12 weeks ago
jhouseholder predicted General (H$6 at 15%)
12 weeks ago
infernalmachine[Admin] predicted Entertainment (H$100 at 17%)
more

Comments (6)

The remaining storms are numbered from # 1, Gustav (because it’s current when I created this question, no need to include the previous storms), through # 15, Wilfred. There are TWO storms for each of the EIGHT Hubdub categories, with the exception of the WORLD category, which only has one storm associated with it, # 7, Marco, hence the lower starting odds for that one.

Also I gave a slight preference in starting odds for storms that are closer to the top of this list as it is a bit less likely that the season will go very deep into the alphabet.

So, if you think:

Gustav # 1 or Nana # 8 will be the final Hurricane of the season then your choice would be GENERAL... if you think that Hanna # 2 or Josephine # 4 will be last, then wager on ENTERTAINMENT... if you think Ike # 3 or Laura # 6 will be last, then wager on POLITICS, etc. etc.

Here is my list of the remaining storm names and how I linked them to the HD categories:

# 1.) GUSTAV Klint, famous Austrian artist = GENERAL.

# 2.) HANNA-Barbera, production company that produces many of the cartoons that Hubdubbers grew up on and seem to becoming movies routinely now = ENTERTAINMENT.

# 3.) IKE, President Dwight Eisenhower = POLITICS.

# 4.) JOSEPHINE Baker, famous actress, civil rights activist and French secret agent = ENTERTAINMENT.

# 5.) KYLE Busch, famous NASCAR race driver = SPORTS.

# 6.) LAURA Bush, current first lady of the United States or FLOTUS = POLITICS.

# 7.) MARCO Polo, famous explorer who generally surveyed vast swaths of the world = WORLD.

# 8.) NANA, A form of Japanese Shojo manga artwork = GENERAL.

# 9.) OMAR Khayym, famous poet, astronomer and scientist = SCIENCE.

# 10.) PALOMA Picasso, daughter of Pablo Picasso and Francoise Gilot, she is a famous businesswoman and French fashion designer = BUSINESS.

# 11.) RENE Descartes, French philosopher, mathematician and scientist = SCIENCE.

# 12.) SALLY Ride, famous first female US Astronaught = TECHNOLOGY.

# 13.) TEDDY, TED the Technology, Entertainment and Design conference, a private, invitation only event that convenes the world’s leading thinkers and doers gathering together to find inspiration = TECHNOLOGY.

# 14.) VICKY, Victoria’s Secret is the largest brand and segment of Limited Brands and does over $5B in annual sales = BUSINESS.

# 15.) WILFRED Bungei was the Kenyan athlete that won a gold in the 800m event at the 2008 Olympic summer games = SPORTS.
posted 12 weeks ago
  2 kruijs[Power User]
Why don't you just ask: "How many hurricanes will hit the US in 2008" ?
posted 12 weeks ago
Because that's too dull.
posted 12 weeks ago
  4 kruijs[Power User]
Hm... why?

http://www.hubdub.com/m14521
posted 12 weeks ago
V&H - why did you suspend your question and ask for a void? You put a lot of work into this... Please unsuspend or repost.
posted 12 weeks ago
Thank you f_o_f...

Replacement, improved more straight forward will soon be available @ .... http://www.hubdub.com/m14521/How_many_Hurricanes_of_the_2008_season_to_hit_US_

Regards,
v&h
posted 12 weeks ago

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