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Who will win BBC Sports Personality of the Year 2008?

Current forecast: Lewis Hamilton (80% chance2%)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Lewis Hamilton with a probability of 80% (up 2% in last 1 day)

Self explanatory really!


Settlement details: As reported by the BBC Sports Personality website on Monday 15 December.

 
Forecast history, %
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Lewis Hamilton
80%
Rebecca Adlington
8%
Chris Hoy
7%
Christine Ohuruogu
0%
Kevin Pietersen
0%
Andy Murray
4%
Someone else
1%
Activity: H$32,139
Question suspends in 2 weeks

Suspend date: Sat 13th Dec 4am PST (2 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Lewis Hamilton: 25%, Rebecca Adlington: 25%, Chris Hoy: 25%, Christine Ohuruogu: 5%, Kevin Pietersen: 5%, Andy Murray: 10%, Someone else: 5%

Action history:

Created Wed 27th Aug 11am PDT by alranson

Suspend date: Sat 13th Dec 4am PST (2 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (195)

195 predictions

3 hours ago
craigsplatt predicted Lewis Hamilton (H$100 at 80%)
5 hours ago
sbrooks predicted Lewis Hamilton (H$10 at 80%)
5 hours ago
seventhsight predicted Lewis Hamilton (H$100 at 80%)
6 hours ago
finlay predicted Lewis Hamilton (H$100 at 80%)
7 hours ago
ed11 predicted Chris Hoy (H$20 at 7%)
more

Comments (2)

  1 olbg
Not sure the BBC will be too happy to see the award go to an ITV program...but Hamilton hasnt been out of the news since his win which came at the right time for this. Adlington and Hoy were amazing but as Hill and Mansell have shown (both 2 time winners) motor racing is popular with those who vote for this award.
posted 1 week ago
  2 dulldave
If Christine Ohuruogu wins I think I will be sick.
posted 1 day ago

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