Home Hubdub logo
 
Guest account   Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's play money, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
Home
Leaderboards
Forums
My Predictions

How many Hurricanes of the 2008 season to hit US?

Voided

No 'less tha 7' option.

Background:

Gustav is the 7th Hurricane of the year, (I know, currently it's a tropical storm, but will likely return to Hurricane strength after crossing Cuba) so we are 1/3 the way through the list of names allocated for 2008.

Linkage can be made between the names of the 2008 Hurricanes and the various HD categories of; Politics, Sports, Entertainment, World, Business, Technology, Science and General. See http://www.hubdub.com/m14496.

How many named Hurricanes will have crossed a US beach or border by 11/30/08?
To qualify the Hurricane will need to have sustained winds of 75mph or more at the time that it cross a US beach or border.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Voided

7
1%
8
7%
9
18%
10
25%
11
20%
12
12%
13
8%
14
5%
15
3%
16 or more (names list is extended)
1%
Voided Fri 29th Aug 2:56am PDT

Suspend date: Sun 30th Nov 11:59pm PST (1 week to go)

Initial likelihoods: 7: 1%, 8: 7%, 9: 18%, 10: 25%, 11: 20%, 12: 12%, 13: 8%, 14: 5%, 15: 3%, 16 or more (names list is extended): 1%

Action history:

Created Wed 27th Aug 1:21pm PDT by kruijs[Power User]
Suspended Wed 27th Aug 2:47pm PDT by valornhonor[Power User]: Flagged by super user: duplication by mistake
Unsuspended Thu 28th Aug 2am PDT by tisha[Admin]
Suspended Thu 28th Aug 6:12am PDT by jenniandboys[Admin]: Flagged by admin: There have been 7 named hurricanes, but they haven't all hit the US. Thus this market needs to have a less than 7 option.
Voided Fri 29th Aug 2:56am PDT by tisha[Admin]: No 'less tha 7' option.

Suspend date: Sun 30th Nov 11:59pm PST (1 week to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (22)

22 predictions

12 weeks ago
chull predicted 10 (H$50 at 25%)
12 weeks ago
chull predicted 9 (H$50 at 19%)
12 weeks ago
jhouseholder predicted 9 (H$10 at 19%)
12 weeks ago
raym823 predicted 12 (H$50 at 14%)
12 weeks ago
youbet predicted 11 (H$100 at 19%)
more

Comments (6)

Yes, this was a draft of the other, I hadn't intended to save both, asking for void please.
posted 12 weeks ago
oops, I get what kruij's intends now, asking for THIS market to be made LIVE again, and orig. to be voided.
posted 12 weeks ago
This one still has the problem of not allowing an option less than 7. There have been 7 named hurricanes, but (I believe?) they haven't all made landfall as such.
posted 12 weeks ago
My original wording "Which HD category will match the final Hurricane of the 2008 season to hit the US?" would not have been this conflict Jen as it only dealt with a forecast of the LAST hurricane to hit the US, it did not require than all of the first seven had hit.

Punt to you kruijs.
posted 12 weeks ago
  6 curios
boy its beaut when you cant see eye to eye. the crack up shows, you are setting a bad example
posted 12 weeks ago

Please log in or join to add a comment

What is Hubdub?

Hubdub makes news more exciting by letting you stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real running news stories.

Join now   or   learn more