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How will the head of the Europe's largest heroin traders clan be sentenced?

Settled as Less than what the prosecutor asks ( < 20yrs)

Sentenced to 15 years

Background:

Three men from Kosovo have gone on trial in Switzerland accused of operating one of Europe's largest heroin wholesale operations.

Prosecutors say the father and his two sons used their base in the country to import 1.5 metric tons of heroin from Turkey for sale elsewhere.

The accused plead not guilty. The judgment opening is arranged on October 30. The market refers to the head of the conspiracy, the older one of two sons.

http://ukpress.google.com/article/ALeqM5hUSEFCYb-d17NKoTXc9ZG8kdCWtA
http://www.worldradio.ch/wrs/news/rundown/swiss-news-at-a-glance-188.shtml?11366
http://www.drs.ch/www/de/drs/sendungen/echo-der-zeit/2644.bt10046770.html (German)
http://www.nzz.ch/nachrichten/kultur/aktuell/heroin_prozess_1.816339.html (German)


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Exactly what the prosecutor asks: 20yrs
12%
More than what the prosecutor asks ( > 20yrs)
10%
Less than what the prosecutor asks ( < 20yrs)
70%
Found guilty, but other sentence than jail
5%
Found not guilty
3%
Activity: H$13,589
Settled as Less than what the prosecutor asks ( < 20yrs) on Fri 31st Oct 8:43am PDT

Suspend date: Wed 29th Oct 4:59pm PDT Settlement date: Fri 31st Oct 8:43am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 29th Oct 6:15am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Exactly what the prosecutor asks: 20yrs: 25%, More than what the prosecutor asks ( > 20yrs): 20%, Less than what the prosecutor asks ( < 20yrs): 40%, Found guilty, but other sentence than jail: 10%, Found not guilty: 5%

Action history:

Created Wed 27th Aug 2:14pm PDT by kruijs[Power User]
Suspended Wed 29th Oct 4:59pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Thu 30th Oct 11:58am PDT by kruijs[Power User]: please settle "<20 years":

Drug trafficker sentenced to 15 years

http://www.swissinfo.ch/eng/news_digest/Drug_trafficker_sentenced_to_15_years.html?siteSect=104&sid=9910407&cKey=1225375914000&ty=nd

Backvoid to 3:12 pm GMT +2
Settled as 'Less than what the prosecutor asks ( < 20yrs)' Fri 31st Oct 8:43am PDT by ryanj[Admin]: Sentenced to 15 years

Suspend date: Wed 29th Oct 4:59pm PDT Settlement date: Fri 31st Oct 8:43am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 29th Oct 6:15am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (89)

89 predictions

3 weeks ago
ksavai predicted Less than what the prosecutor asks ( < 20yrs) (H$100 at 70%)
3 weeks ago
pita_soup predicted Less than what the prosecutor asks ( < 20yrs) (H$20 at 70%)
3 weeks ago
brinkj predicted Less than what the prosecutor asks ( < 20yrs) (H$20 at 63%)
4 weeks ago
jhouseholder predicted Less than what the prosecutor asks ( < 20yrs) (H$50 at 63%)
4 weeks ago
bency predicted Less than what the prosecutor asks ( < 20yrs) (H$50 at 63%)
more

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