'Gender' of final hurricane crossing onto US soil in 2008?
Current forecast: Last named Hurricane had a male name (94% chance
1%)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Last named Hurricane had a male name with a probability of 94% (down 1% in last 1 day)
Back in the day Hurricanes were only given female names, this was not very nice so the custom was adjusted, these days the pre-arranged names for Hurricanes in the greater Atlantic area alternate between male names and female names; however some difficult letters are not used; Q, U, X, Y & Z.
This is a complete toss up, which gender name do you think will match the last hurricane to cross a US state beach or border by 11/30/08?
So far the following names have been used:
M - Arthur
F - Bertha
M - Cristobal
F - Dolly
M - Edouard
F - Fay
M - Gustav
Remaining and available for use this year are:
F - Hanna
M - Ike
F - Josephine
M - Kyle
F - Laura
M - Marco
F - Nana
M - Omar
F - Paloma
M - Rene
F - Sally
M - Teddy
F - Vicky
M - Wilfred
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source. Eye must cross onto US beach or boder and must be a hurricane at some point during the time its eye is on US beach or border.
'Gender' of final hurricane crossing onto US soil in 2008?
Last named Hurricane had a female name
Last named Hurricane had a male name
Zoom out
Forecast history, %
Make your prediction!
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Last named Hurricane had a female name |
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Last named Hurricane had a male name |
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Activity: H$40,687
Question suspends in 6 days
Suspend date: Sat 29th Nov 3:59pm PST (6 days to go)
Initial likelihoods:
Last named Hurricane had a female name: 50%, Last named Hurricane had a male name: 50%
Action history:
Suspend date: Sat 29th Nov 3:59pm PST (6 days to go)
more info...
Predictions (96)
96 predictions
6 hours ago
gtown predicted
Last named Hurricane had a male name (H$50 at 94%)
3 days ago
gtown predicted
Last named Hurricane had a male name (H$50 at 94%)
3 days ago
reverend_right predicted
Last named Hurricane had a male name (H$2,700 at 92%)
5 days ago
gtown predicted
Last named Hurricane had a male name (H$10 at 84%)
5 days ago
gtown predicted
Last named Hurricane had a male name (H$10 at 84%)
more6 hours ago
gtown predicted
Last named Hurricane had a male name (H$50 at 94%)
3 days ago
gtown predicted
Last named Hurricane had a male name (H$50 at 94%)
3 days ago
reverend_right predicted
Last named Hurricane had a male name (H$2,700 at 92%)
5 days ago
gtown predicted
Last named Hurricane had a male name (H$10 at 84%)
5 days ago
gtown predicted
Last named Hurricane had a male name (H$10 at 84%)
5 days ago
gtown predicted
Last named Hurricane had a male name (H$10 at 84%)
6 days ago
gtown predicted
Last named Hurricane had a male name (H$20 at 84%)
1 week ago
valornhonor![This user is a super user [Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif)
predicted
Last named Hurricane had a female name (H$22 at 16%)
1 week ago
vidal1 predicted
Last named Hurricane had a female name (H$100 at 15%)
1 week ago
bruns_david predicted
Last named Hurricane had a male name (H$241 at 86%)
1 week ago
lcsnor predicted
Last named Hurricane had a female name (H$5 at 14%)
1 week ago
subreal predicted
Last named Hurricane had a male name (H$300 at 85%)
1 week ago
subreal predicted
Last named Hurricane had a male name (H$300 at 84%)
1 week ago
bruns_david predicted
Last named Hurricane had a male name (H$500 at 83%)
1 week ago
cookietime predicted
Last named Hurricane had a male name (H$120 at 82%)
1 week ago
zeal predicted
Last named Hurricane had a male name (H$1,000 at 76%)
1 week ago
cognos![This user is a super user [Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif)
predicted
Last named Hurricane had a female name (H$444 at 23%)
1 week ago
dingoh predicted
Last named Hurricane had a male name (H$1,500 at 76%)
Showing recent public predictions only
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Comments (4)
Thank you for your note, actually this resolution is fairly straightforward, the assigned names alternate between male & female, ambiguous names can easily be determined by looking at the names on either side for example Gustavo (male) is followed by Hanna (female), followed by Ike (male), etc.
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