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Will John McCain announce his VP choice on Thursday?

Settled as No

Although unlikely that John McCain would upstage Barack Obama's Invesco Field speech, politics isn't a sure thing. It's unclear how something such as this would effect polling and or Obama's speech. Most definitely the announcement would draw attention away from Obama and the DNC as a whole. If McCain did do this it's likely the Democrats would respond similarly during the RNC.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source. Market is based on a official announcement, so rumors or leaks by the press don't count.

 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

Yes
2%
No
98%
Activity: H$73,567
Settled as No on Fri 29th Aug 7:47am PDT

Suspend date: Thu 28th Aug 8:59pm PDT Settlement date: Fri 29th Aug 7:47am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 28th Aug 8:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 20%

Action history:

Created Wed 27th Aug 8:27pm PDT by ryanj[Admin]
Suspended Thu 28th Aug 8:59pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Fri 29th Aug 7:45am PDT by jake: Settle as no. He didn't make his choice Thursday.
Settled as 'No' Fri 29th Aug 7:47am PDT by destry[Admin]

Suspend date: Thu 28th Aug 8:59pm PDT Settlement date: Fri 29th Aug 7:47am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 28th Aug 8:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (72)

72 predictions

12 weeks ago
angelbaby3207 predicted No (H$100 at 91%)
12 weeks ago
onedave[Power User] predicted No (H$20 at 89%)
12 weeks ago
bigken1 predicted No (H$300 at 89%)
12 weeks ago
bigken1 predicted No (H$200 at 89%)
12 weeks ago
deelilley predicted Yes (H$50 at 11%)
more

Comments (2)

McCain makes decision on VP running mate on August 28. He has NOT ANNOUNCED IT YET (as of 3:30pm PDT) which is the question.
posted 12 weeks ago
  2 onedave[Power User]
McCain is expected to introduce his running mate at 11:00 am tomorrow. http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601103&sid=anbNIqYzthOA&refer=us
posted 12 weeks ago

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