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Will Dnepr rocket with RapidEye satellites launch on 29 Aug?

Settled as Yes

http://en.rian.ru/russia/20080829/116369611.html

Background:

A Kosmotras Dnepr rocket will launch five commercial RapidEye remote sensing satellites to collect imagery of agricultural regions and natural disasters. Launch is scheduled at 0715 GMT on Aug 29th.
More on RapidEye satellites and mission: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/RapidEye
http://www.rapideye.de/service/home/0
But what is may be not less interesting it's the rocket with which the launch will be executed. This is a converted inter-continental ballistic missile known in Russia as R-36M 'Voevoda' (meaninig "ancient military chief") and SS-18 'Satan' by NATO designation.
It launches not as it is usual for most of the space rockets, but from under the earth which makes Dnepr rocket launches always very spectacular (and somewhat frightening).
But those rockets have a history of failures and malfunctions and this brings some elevated level of incertainity.
Dnepr launches from different sites; this time the launch is from Baikonur cosmodrome in Kazakhstan.
More on Dnepr rockets: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dnepr_rocket


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
78%
No
22%
Activity: H$12,200
Settled as Yes on Fri 29th Aug 2:22am PDT

Suspend date: Fri 29th Aug 12:15am PDT Settlement date: Fri 29th Aug 2:22am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 29th Aug 12:15am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 65%

Action history:

Created Thu 28th Aug 1:02am PDT by orlin
Suspended Fri 29th Aug 12:15am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Fri 29th Aug 1:06am PDT by orlin: Yes

http://en.rian.ru/russia/20080829/116369611.html
Settled as 'Yes' Fri 29th Aug 2:22am PDT by tisha[Admin]: http://en.rian.ru/russia/20080829/116369611.html

Suspend date: Fri 29th Aug 12:15am PDT Settlement date: Fri 29th Aug 2:22am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 29th Aug 12:15am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (5)

5 predictions

12 weeks ago
joaoxxx predicted Yes (H$100 at 78%)
12 weeks ago
jackpot11 predicted Yes (H$100 at 64%)

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