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Will the upcoming Dnepr rocket launch be successful?

Settled as Yes

http://www.rapideye.de/home/about-us/launch2008--/#news

Background:

The Dnepr rocket will launch five commercial RapidEye remote sensing satellites. Launch is scheduled at 0715 GMT on Aug 29th.
"Successful" in the present context means:
1/ Rocket launch on time and achieve orbit;
2/ The five RapidEye satellites separate from the carrier rocket and achieve designated orbit.
Failure or malfunction of one or more of the five RapidEye satellites not linked with the Dnepr rocket itself does not count as "no".


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
67%
No
33%
Activity: H$8,953
Settled as Yes on Fri 29th Aug 6:26am PDT

Suspend date: Fri 29th Aug 12:15am PDT Settlement date: Fri 29th Aug 6:26am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 29th Aug 12:15am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 60%

Action history:

Created Thu 28th Aug 1:37am PDT by orlin
Suspended Fri 29th Aug 12:15am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Fri 29th Aug 6:17am PDT by elly: YES
http://www.rapideye.de/home/about-us/launch2008--/#news
Settled as 'Yes' Fri 29th Aug 6:26am PDT by tisha[Admin]: http://www.rapideye.de/home/about-us/launch2008--/#news

Suspend date: Fri 29th Aug 12:15am PDT Settlement date: Fri 29th Aug 6:26am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 29th Aug 12:15am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (11)

11 predictions

12 weeks ago
fallingup79 predicted Yes (H$100 at 67%)
12 weeks ago
jaspersoddity predicted Yes (H$500 at 66%)
12 weeks ago
joaoxxx predicted Yes (H$100 at 65%)
12 weeks ago
hubdubbob predicted No (H$50 at 36%)
12 weeks ago
jenniandboys[Admin] predicted No (H$250 at 36%)
more

Comments (2)

  1 chatarra
@ Orlin,
Thank you for posting your questions on rocketry.
Having a father involved in aeronautics has given me a deep
appreciation of the complexity involved.
posted 12 weeks ago
  2 orlin
Thank you, Chatarra.
I am a pure amateur, but have been interested in space exploration and space rockets launches since I was a child.
posted 12 weeks ago

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