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Will either McCain or Obama appear on SNL before the elections?

Settled as Only McCain appears.

Gosh darn it. Stupid Obama. Congrads to those of you who switched your bets -- a lot of people lost big on this one! McCain did a great job, although Cindy definitely walked away with the show.

Background:

Both Barack Obama and John McCain have appeared on the US television program Saturday Night Live. McCain has even hosted the program. Will either candidate make an appearance on the show before the November 4 elections?

An appearance on the Monday night election spectactular will also count towards settlement


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source, or as seen on the television program itself. An appearance will be defined as having the candidate appear live, in studio (not pre-recorded or remotely broadcast).

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Both candidates appear.
16%
Only McCain appears.
16%
Only Obama appears.
18%
Neither candidate appears.
49%
Activity: H$85,382
Settled as Only McCain appears. on Tue 4th Nov 3:24am PST

Suspend date: Fri 31st Oct 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Tue 4th Nov 3:24am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 31st Oct 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Both candidates appear.: 50%, Only McCain appears.: 25%, Only Obama appears.: 20%, Neither candidate appears.: 5%

Action history:

Created Thu 28th Aug 9:32am PDT by loren
Suspended Fri 31st Oct 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sun 2nd Nov 6:12am PST by crowe: McCain was on SNL last night (11/1). Obama hasn't been on SNL and the election is in 2 days - Tuesday, Nov.4 - no chance Obama will be on before elections. Should settle as "Only McCain appears"
Settled as 'Only McCain appears.' Tue 4th Nov 3:24am PST by jenniandboys[Admin]: Gosh darn it. Stupid Obama. Congrads to those of you who switched your bets -- a lot of people lost big on this one! McCain did a great job, although Cindy definitely walked away with the show.

Suspend date: Fri 31st Oct 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Tue 4th Nov 3:24am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 31st Oct 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (217)

217 predictions

3 weeks ago
luvjoy78 predicted Neither candidate appears. (H$100 at 48%)
3 weeks ago
broom_and_gride predicted Only Obama appears. (H$20 at 19%)
3 weeks ago
broom_and_gride predicted Only Obama appears. (H$5 at 18%)
3 weeks ago
wabash predicted Neither candidate appears. (H$100 at 48%)
3 weeks ago
m00mba predicted Only Obama appears. (H$20 at 19%)
more

Comments (15)

  1 dieseldog
have canidates (after receiving the nomination) did this before? i think its dumb sitting prez's don't do the late night talk shows. i guess they think it ain't proper to do such things.
posted 10 weeks ago
An appearance on the Thursday night: SNL Weekend Updates will also count towards settlement
posted 6 weeks ago
  3 coolkraft
http://www.eisenstadtgroup.com/2008/10/20/barack-obama-to-appear-on-snl-lorne-michaels-contributes-4600-to-his-campaign/

c'mon after Obama cancelled his SNL appearance because of hurricane Ike we knew that he would reschedule and what better time than this.
posted 3 weeks ago
Now the question is if McCain will sneak in a cameo as well..
posted 3 weeks ago
  6 kleas
Goddamnit! Fine time to develop a sense of humor, J-Mac.
posted 3 weeks ago
@kleas: He has a sense of humor
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=90KbbB9CvsE
posted 3 weeks ago
if McCain is as funny as he was at that charity event he and Obama attended last week it could wind up being a pretty good show.
posted 3 weeks ago
  9 coolkraft
http://featuresblogs.chicagotribune.com/entertainment_tv/2008/10/snl-fey-palin.html

maybe both appear....Obama and McCain
posted 3 weeks ago
  11 dieseldog
kleas - no need in using that word on this site or any other!!
posted 3 weeks ago
  12 coolkraft
a mention of a surprise Monday night on SNL...probably Obama will appear
posted 2 weeks ago
  14 dieseldog
jenni - just add details to the background till it fit's the desired answer? first thursday night's was added (comment #3 added 3 weeks ago)now monday night has been added. why wasn't monday night added 3 weeks ago? is that a fair way to do things?
posted 2 weeks ago
@dd - Certainly I would have included it if I knew of it, but I didn't know about it until someone told me there was no Thursday show last week. In the process of looking around, I found Monday night's show. The fact is, this question is if they will appear on SNL before the election and that show would be SNL before the election. If the MSM would say "Obama appears on SNL" then we should make sure that our market covers that.
posted 2 weeks ago

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