ryanj![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
This week how many active Trop. Storms and Hurricanes will there be?
Gustav, Hanna, Ike and Josephine were either tropical storms or hurricanes during the week.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2008/al07/al072008.public.034.shtml?
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2008/al08/al082008.public_a.033.shtml?
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2008/al09/al092008.public_a.024.shtml?
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2008/al10/al102008.public.009.shtml?
Background:
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source. This market does not include the pacific region. The Atlantic area and Gulf of Mexico are what the area of operation for this market is. For this market the week starts on Monday. Storms which are already operating will count.
Settled
|
|
2 or Less |
|
||
|
|
3 |
|
||
|
|
4 |
|
||
|
|
5 or More |
|
Suspend date: Mon 8th Sep 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Mon 8th Sep 5:12pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 8th Sep 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: 2 or Less: 25%, 3: 50%, 4: 20%, 5 or More: 5%
Action history:
ryanj ryanj: The market had been titled "next week" but the market was created last Thursday, the market actually refers to this week and I've edited the market to make that clear. 
onedave![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
: Please settle as '4.' Gustav, Hanna, Ike and Josephine were either tropical storms or hurricanes during the week.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2008/al07/al072008.public.034.shtml?
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2008/al08/al082008.public_a.033.shtml?
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2008/al09/al092008.public_a.024.shtml?
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2008/al10/al102008.public.009.shtml?
ryanj: Gustav, Hanna, Ike and Josephine were either tropical storms or hurricanes during the week.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2008/al07/al072008.public.034.shtml?
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2008/al08/al082008.public_a.033.shtml?
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2008/al09/al092008.public_a.024.shtml?
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2008/al10/al102008.public.009.shtml?
Suspend date: Mon 8th Sep 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Mon 8th Sep 5:12pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 8th Sep 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (127)
127 predictions
swilson
bout3fitty
lcsnor
joaoxxx
rbrog77
infernalmachine
kearnsdm
mrperfktComments (4)
What is Hubdub?
Hubdub makes news more exciting by letting you stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real running news stories.
Join now or learn moreRelated News
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
Related tags
More questions by
ryanj
151 settled, 50 voided
(from the hunting of the snark).
taking 3 as the subject to reason about, a convenient number to state, we add 7 and 10 and then multiply out by 1000 diminished by 8.
the result we proceed to divide as you see, by 992, and then subtract 17 and the answer must be, exactly and perfectly true.
The method employed I would gladly explain, as i have it so clear in my head, if i had but the time and you had but the brain, but much more remains to be said.
any questions?
The market had been titled "next week" but the market was created last Thursday, the market actually refers to this week and I've edited the market to make that clear. The market was up though for yesterday and today as "next week" which I'm sure led to confusion. If anyone wants there wagers voided due to the wonky wording please flag the market and I will void your wagers,
Ryan
Please log in or join to add a comment