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Will there be an actual attempt to assasinate Barack Obama before Nov 3, 2008?

Voided

Market voided. What constitutes an actual attempt is hard to define. Does a shot have to be fired?

Background:

Give a racist a gun and add alcohol and/or drugs...could happen.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Voided

Yes
10%
No
90%
Voided Thu 28th Aug 9:27pm PDT

Suspend date: Sun 2nd Nov 11:59pm PST

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 10%

Action history:

Created Thu 28th Aug 12:57pm PDT by meanderingsearcher
Voided Thu 28th Aug 9:27pm PDT by destry[Admin]: Market voided. What constitutes an actual attempt is hard to define. Does a shot have to be fired?

Suspend date: Sun 2nd Nov 11:59pm PST
more info...

 

Predictions (11)

11 predictions

12 weeks ago
maxime predicted Yes (H$200 at 14%)
12 weeks ago
valornhonor[Power User] predicted No (H$5,000 at 85%)
12 weeks ago
jman predicted No (H$50 at 83%)
12 weeks ago
pixelpaws predicted Yes (H$50 at 17%)
12 weeks ago
onedave[Power User] predicted No (H$20 at 85%)
more

Comments (9)

  1 pixelpaws
It's quite sad that this is even a credible question. One would hope that the US would be above stuff like this.
posted 12 weeks ago
Within the next 63 days.... hmmnnn... In my lifetime only President Johnson didn't have an apparent assassination attempt on him during his administration.

Assassinations of US Presidents:
Abraham Lincoln
James A. Garfield
William McKinley
John F. Kennedy

Attempted Assassinations:
Andrew Jackson
Theodore Roosevelt
Franklin D. Roosevelt
Harry S. Truman
John F. Kennedy
Richard M. Nixon
Gerald R. Ford
Jimmy Carter
Ronald Reagan
George. H. W. Bush
Bill Clinton
George W. Bush

Deaths rumored to be assassinations:
Zachary Taylor
Warren G. Harding

Unless I'm missing something the only candidate that I know of in recent years that was killed, prior to the election was Robert F. Kennedy.
posted 12 weeks ago
if this question is to be voided to reset the odds then lets do it now please
posted 12 weeks ago
judging by the above list, barrack has a 95% chance of an attempt on his life
posted 12 weeks ago
@ meanderingrearcher...

But to be fair, these men were attacked while they were in office, this question is more narrow in scope and only covers about 9 weeks. Hopefully cooler heads will prevail and the brave men of the Secret Service will continue their difficult job of keeping our current and potential Presidents safe.
posted 12 weeks ago
no plotting has to be an actual attempt
posted 12 weeks ago
@pixalpaws
in a canadian election the most credible question is "how many photo-ops will each cadidate have in a tim hortons coffee shop"
posted 12 weeks ago
is now chuckling at the anal retention that can be caused by ambiguity
posted 12 weeks ago
http://cnews.canoe.ca/CNEWS/USElection/2008/10/27/7222046-ap.html
Assassination plot targeting Obama foiled

By Lara Jakes Jordan - THE ASSOCIATED

good thing this question got voided
posted 3 weeks ago

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