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Which teams will advance from UEFA Champions League Group B?

Current forecast: Inter & Werder Bremen (34% chance1%)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Inter & Werder Bremen with a probability of 34% (down 1% in last 1 day)

Group B : FC Internazionale Milano (ITA), Werder Bremen (GER)
Panathinaikos FC (GRE), Anorthosis Famagusta FC (CYP)

Group's home page at UEFA's site:
http://www.uefa.com/competitions/ucl/standings/round=15276/group=701405.html

After every team plays each other home and away, top 2 advances to the 2nd round. Which teams will they be?

Initial likelihoods are based on the UEFA coefficients of the teams:
http://www.xs4all.nl/~kassiesa/bert/uefa/seedcl2008.html

Roughly : (Team 1 coef. + Team 2 coef) / 3*(Total of all team coefficients)
Since the lowest seeded teams rarely advance, I moved several percantage points from those outcomes to the other outcomes.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Make your prediction!

Inter & Werder Bremen
34%
Inter & Panathinaikos
28%
Werder Bremen & Panathinaikos
4%
Inter & Anarthosis
32%
Werder Bremen & Anarthosis
1%
Panathinaikos & Anarthosis
1%
Activity: H$14,198
Question suspends in 2 weeks

Suspend date: Tue 9th Dec 9:59am PST (2 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Inter & Werder Bremen: 30%, Inter & Panathinaikos: 26%, Werder Bremen & Panathinaikos: 23%, Inter & Anarthosis: 10%, Werder Bremen & Anarthosis: 7%, Panathinaikos & Anarthosis: 4%

Action history:

Created Thu 28th Aug 2:23pm PDT by pembeci

Suspend date: Tue 9th Dec 9:59am PST (2 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (26)

26 predictions

1 week ago
pembeci predicted Inter & Panathinaikos (H$200 at 27%)
1 week ago
pembeci predicted Inter & Anarthosis (H$200 at 32%)
1 week ago
jamest predicted Inter & Panathinaikos (H$300 at 24%)
1 week ago
jamest predicted Inter & Anarthosis (H$300 at 31%)
2 weeks ago
tun3r84 predicted Inter & Werder Bremen (H$226 at 33%)
more

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