Created Thu 28th Aug 4:46pm PDT by 
cbloom
All questions » Politics » US Election 2008 » cbloom 
Which state will be the last to be called to put the winner of the US election over the top?
Settled as a state not listed, more than one, or none
The closing of polls on the west coast when California, Oregon, Washington, and Nevada were all called put Obama over the top.
Background:
We had the late nights for the election in 2000 waiting on Florida, 2004 waiting on Ohio, which state will we be waiting on late at night in 2008?
Category Editor Clarification
This market will settle based on how the election results roll in. If one of the listed states put a candidate over the necessary amount then it will be settled for that state. The last option covers all the other possibilities.
Category Editor Clarification
This market will settle based on how the election results roll in. If one of the listed states put a candidate over the necessary amount then it will be settled for that state. The last option covers all the other possibilities.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Settled
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Michigan |
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Colorado |
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Virginia |
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New Hampshire |
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Nevada |
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Pennsylvania |
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Ohio |
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Minnesota |
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Florida |
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a state not listed, more than one, or none |
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Activity: H$2,929
Settled as a state not listed, more than one, or none on Tue 4th Nov 10:33pm PST
Suspend date: Wed 5th Nov 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Tue 4th Nov 10:33pm PST
Initial likelihoods: Michigan: 5%, Colorado: 5%, Virginia: 5%, New Hampshire: 5%, Nevada: 5%, Pennsylvania: 5%, Ohio: 5%, Minnesota: 5%, Florida: 5%, a state not listed, more than one, or none: 55%
Action history:
Created Thu 28th Aug 4:46pm PDT by cbloom
cbloom
Suspended Thu 28th Aug 5:34pm PDT by 
destry![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
: Market suspended until further clarification can be gathered.
destry: Market suspended until further clarification can be gathered.
Unsuspended Sun 31st Aug 9:55pm PDT by destry: Market Clarified in background.
destry: Market Clarified in background.
Suspended Tue 4th Nov 10:29pm PST by 
newswrangler![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user")
: Flagged by super user: Late suspend time.
Suspended pending outcome.
newswrangler: Flagged by super user: Late suspend time.
Suspended pending outcome.
Settled as 'a state not listed, more than one, or none' Tue 4th Nov 10:33pm PST by destry: The closing of polls on the west coast when California, Oregon, Washington, and Nevada were all called put Obama over the top.
destry: The closing of polls on the west coast when California, Oregon, Washington, and Nevada were all called put Obama over the top.
Suspend date: Wed 5th Nov 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Tue 4th Nov 10:33pm PST
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