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Will there be an ACTUAL assassination attempt on any Presidential candidate before October 31, 2008?

Settled as No

Will anyone attempt to assassinate the Presidential candidates?
PLEASE NOTE for this to settle YES someone has to actually take action and NOT just say that they are going to do it. What i am looking for here is an actual shooting,stabing, etc. WORDS ARE NOT AN ATTEMPTED ASSASSINATION

Note: This is taken to mean the candidates from the two main parties. The GOP and the Democrats.
Category Editor Clarification
This market will only settle as a YES if a shot is fired, or person stabs at candidate, or sets off explosive device. You get the gist, an action has to take place beyond planning and plotting.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
3%
No
97%
Activity: H$89,755
Settled as No on Fri 31st Oct 5:50am PDT

Suspend date: Sat 25th Oct 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Fri 31st Oct 5:50am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 25th Oct 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 20%

Action history:

Created Fri 29th Aug 4:30am PDT by ryanb37
Suspended Sat 25th Oct 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Mon 27th Oct 8:39pm PDT by crowe: no attempt was made beyond planning and plotting.
Settlement requested Fri 31st Oct 1:15am PDT by orlin: Oct 30 has passed, no reports of such attempts.
Settled as 'No' Fri 31st Oct 5:50am PDT by destry[Admin]

Suspend date: Sat 25th Oct 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Fri 31st Oct 5:50am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 25th Oct 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (193)

193 predictions

4 weeks ago
brianshort predicted No (H$50 at 97%)
4 weeks ago
jthane predicted No (H$50 at 97%)
4 weeks ago
eodacd predicted No (H$100 at 97%)
4 weeks ago
hillny predicted No (H$50 at 97%)
4 weeks ago
jensir predicted No (H$100 at 97%)
more

Comments (21)

  1 kruijs[Power User]
Die beiden KKK-Führer Earl Johnson und Carl Dupre sprechen im FOCUS-Online-Interview offen über ihre Weltsicht.

(...)

FOCUS Online: Barack Obama hat realistische Chancen, der erste farbige Präsident der USA zu werden. Das muss für ein Klanmitglied der Albtraum sein, oder?

Dupre: Sollte Obama, dieser muslimische Nigger, Präsident werden – (Dupre schüttelt das Sturmgewehr in seiner Hand) – so wird er das bestimmt nicht lange bleiben.

FOCUS Online: Was meinen Sie damit?

Carl Dupre: Sie werden schon sehen.

http://www.focus.de/panorama/reportage/tid-9713/ku-klux-klan-fuehrer-obama-wird-nicht-lange-praesident-sein_aid_297020.html
http://www.focus.de/panorama/reportage/tid-9713/ku-klux-klan-fuehrer-dies-ist-kein-kostuemfest-dies-ist-bitterer-ernst_aid_297021.html
posted 12 weeks ago
I wish I got to practice my German on more pleasant topics... How'd I do kruijs?
Focus: Barack Obama has a realistic chance to be the first Black President of the US. As a KKK leader, you can't allow that, correct?
Dupre: If Obama, ****, becomes President, it won't be for long.
Focus: What do you mean?
Dupre: You will see soon.

How'd I do kruijs?
posted 12 weeks ago
  3 kruijs[Power User]
very good, jenni!

the phrase you left out: ... - (Dupre waggles the assault rifle he holds in his hands) - ...
posted 12 weeks ago
So, you're assuming some whacko socialist isn't going to make an attempt on McCain's life?
posted 7 weeks ago
socialists at this point would probably be happy with the liberal trend of this election. even mccain is a step closer to collectivism than what America has been used to (unfortunate as it may be)
posted 7 weeks ago
  6 Erik
"We can't expect the American People to jump from Capitalism to Communism, but we can assist their elected leaders in giving them small doses of Socialism, until they awaken one day to find that they have Communism." — Nikita Khrushchev
posted 6 weeks ago
  7 curios
Americans adore me and will go on adoring me until I say something nice about them.
George Bernard Shaw (1856 - 1950)
posted 5 weeks ago
Disgusting
posted 5 weeks ago
  9 amg503
Wow... I think I hear the Secret Service knocking on your door already, ryanb37.
posted 5 weeks ago
@ Erik

VERY interesting quote.
posted 5 weeks ago
  11 kruijs[Power User]
errr, Erik, yes, interesting quote. but why do you cite that in this context?
posted 5 weeks ago
I agree! In fa-
"Power Corrupts. Absolute power corrupts absolutely". John Emerich Edward Dalberg Acton.
-ct we should do something!
posted 5 weeks ago
I put 4.5k on no. Anyone care to bet against me?
posted 4 weeks ago
The world will end tomorrow.... I've put 100,000,000 H$ on no.... anyone want to bet against me?
posted 4 weeks ago
Yes! Give me a link and i accept!
posted 4 weeks ago
  16 maxime
off course someone's gone try. voters in va have gotten death threats, just a matter of time before some idiot tries something
posted 4 weeks ago
Look dont be ridiculous.
A: Hundreds of millions of people vote for canidates, i doubt anyone has the time to kill anyone whos voting.
B: It would take tens of millions of dollars and a well coordinated group of highly trained professionals to be able to pull of an assassination. I doubt anyone who has a major problem with obama has that sort of capability these days.
posted 4 weeks ago
  18 frank2877
Delivery truck with hole cut in roof: $10,000. Black market Vietnam era mortar $15,000. High Explosive ammo $2,000. Maximum effective range: 6,206 yds. Watching (insert name here) fly through the air: Priceless :-) Millions of dollars? Not really. One spotter with a disposable cell phone and a two man mortar crew (U.S. military trained) (Mythbusters disclaimer) Now kids don't try this at home etc...
posted 4 weeks ago
Look, the president is wearing a bomb vest at all times. Hes surrounded by people who wear bomb proof vests and are ready to jump to his safety at a moments notice. Vietnam era mortars in the "black market" take a network of people who actually know how the black market operates, and have connections with the black market. You cant just walk up and buy something from a stall!
posted 4 weeks ago
besides its inherent distaste, why was this question suspended?
posted 3 weeks ago
The suspend date was reached.
posted 3 weeks ago

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