
Will George W. Bush speak in-person at the RNC?
He only spoke via satellite.
Background:>
Official Clarification
If convention is delayed and President Bush is able to speak in the first week meaning on September 1st up to and including September 6th this market will settle as a YES. If the convention is delayed beyond the first week, or President Bush chooses to not speak during the above mentioned time frame this market will settle as a NO.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Settled
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Yes |
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No |
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Suspend date: Mon 1st Sep 3pm PDT Settlement date: Fri 5th Sep 7:36pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 1st Sep 3pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%
Action history:
If convention is delayed and President Bush is able to speak in the first week meaning on September 1st up to and including September 6th this market will settle as a YES. If the convention is delayed beyond the first week, or President Bush chooses to not speak during the above mentioned time frame this market will settle as a NO.
President Bush has announced he will not speak at RNC, CNN reported, earlier than 11:09AM EDT.
http://my.att.net/s/editorial.dll?bfromind=7508&eeid=6054992&_sitecat=1504&dcatid=0&eetype=article&render=y&ac=-2&ck=&ch=ne
Suspend date: Mon 1st Sep 3pm PDT Settlement date: Fri 5th Sep 7:36pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 1st Sep 3pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Predictions (79)
79 predictions
Comments (12)
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New in Politics » US Election 2008




On separate note, good job on creating well crafted markets.
"Will President George W. Bush speak live and in-person at the Republican National Convention during the first week of September?"
The best way to get a category editor's attention to ask for a clarification like this is to hit the 'flag for review' link - the little icon next to the market graph. (At the current time you can only flag a market once.) It is also helpful to post your question here in the comments (as you have done) -- chances are that if you have the question, other users may as well!
If convention is delayed and President Bush is able to speak in the first week meaning on September 1st up to and including September 6th this market will settle as a YES. If the convention is delayed beyond the first week, or President Bush chooses to not speak during the above mentioned time frame this market will settle as a NO.
Sorry about not flagging. I will do so next time.
The fact that he has cancelled plans to attend on Monday does not settle this question. We have already seen Ted Kennedy do a reversal at the Democratic Convention, and the same is possible here, especially if hurricane relief is running smoothly later in the week.
Do you mean he has not spoken at the RNC?
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