
How many times will the photogenic Governor Palin be on the cover of Time by election day 08?
Last issue has been released.
Total of 2: http://www.time.com/time/searchresults?N=46
Oct 13
Sep 15
Background:>
To qualify the following will be true:
Her face will plainly be shown on the cover of the magazine, i.e. not from behind.
1/2 or more of her face will be visible, (see the link for the cover that had 1/2 of Obama and 1/2 of Clinton for precedent).
Any issues of Time magazine will count, including likely special issues or special election issues.
Approx. 8 to 11 issues are likely between now and election day.
Follows are links pertinent to this market:
http://www.floiomag.com/files/images/obama_magazine_covers_2008.jpg
http://coverawards.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/04/timehilbar.jpg
http://www.time.com/time/coversearch
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Settled
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Governor Palin absent from all Time covers |
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Face seen once |
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Face seen twice |
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Face seen thrice |
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Face seen 4 X |
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Face seen 5 X |
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Face seen 6 or more times |
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Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Tue 4th Nov 12:24pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 3rd Nov 9pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Governor Palin absent from all Time covers : 2%, Face seen once: 5%, Face seen twice: 25%, Face seen thrice: 25%, Face seen 4 X: 23%, Face seen 5 X: 10%, Face seen 6 or more times: 10%
Action history:
Total of 2: http://www.time.com/time/searchresults?N=46
Oct 13
Sep 15
Back void results... can't figure out when the last issue was released. Dated Nov 10, so assumedly Nov 3rd? (market suspended)
Total of 2: http://www.time.com/time/searchresults?N=46
Oct 13
Sep 15
Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Tue 4th Nov 12:24pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 3rd Nov 9pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Predictions (136)
136 predictions
Comments (6)
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