
During which month will Wikipedia reach 2.6 million articles in English?
It now exceeds 2.6m articles in English (see top of http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Main_Page)
Background:>
Settlement details:
As reported by http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Special:Statistics
Settled
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During September, 2008 |
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During October, 2008 |
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During November, 2008 |
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During December, 2008 |
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On or after January 1st, 2009 |
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Suspend date: Thu 1st Jan 2009 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) Settlement date: Sun 26th Oct 2:22pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 25th Oct 5pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: During September, 2008: 10%, During October, 2008: 20%, During November, 2008: 25%, During December, 2008: 25%, On or after January 1st, 2009: 20%
Action history:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Special:Statistics (market suspended)
Welcome to Wikipedia,
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2,600,329 articles in English
Suspend date: Thu 1st Jan 2009 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) Settlement date: Sun 26th Oct 2:22pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 25th Oct 5pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
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Predictions (163)
163 predictions
Comments (17)
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Seems a lot less certain to be Nov than these odds suggest.
14-Oct 2,581,870
That is 937 per day over roughly the last month.
Estimate for end of October is:
31-Oct 2,597,804
Only 2200 to write!
That is 1,031 per day since 19 Sep
31 Oct estimate is now 2,601,760
That now makes 1,157 per day since 19 Sep.
New estimate for 31 Oct is 2,607,024.
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