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Will Sweden's "Loch Ness" monster, recently "caught on camera", be confirmed to be real?

Current forecast: No conclusions published by suspend date (57% chance11%)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is No conclusions published by suspend date with a probability of 57% (down 11% in last 1 day)

The headlines read Sweden's Loch Ness monster possibly caught on camera:
http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20080829/od_afp/swedenanimallegendoffbeat_080829155128

However, recently we have had a "bigfoot" hoax http://www.blueridgenow.com/article/20080819/news/125187 that disappointed some "big foot believers".

Will the mainstream media confirm that the Sweden's Storsjoe (their equivilant of the Loch Ness Monster) is proven to exist?

Pictures and video at http://www.storsjoodjuret.nu/


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Make your prediction!

Storsioe is confirmed real - new species of animal
10%
Storsioe is confirmed real - known animal species
10%
Storsioe is proven to be a hoax
23%
No conclusions published by suspend date
57%
Activity: H$9,722
Question suspends in 40 weeks

Suspend date: Tue 1st Sep 2009 12:59am PDT (40 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Storsioe is confirmed real - new species of animal: 10%, Storsioe is confirmed real - known animal species: 10%, Storsioe is proven to be a hoax: 5%, No conclusions published by suspend date: 75%

Action history:

Created Fri 29th Aug 3:04pm PDT by notablenotices[Power User]

Suspend date: Tue 1st Sep 2009 12:59am PDT (40 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (62)

62 predictions

3 weeks ago
capecodviking predicted Storsioe is confirmed real - known animal species (H$1 at 11%)
5 weeks ago
someone_162 predicted Storsioe is proven to be a hoax (H$20 at 34%)
6 weeks ago
davew predicted No conclusions published by suspend date (H$50 at 46%)
6 weeks ago
davew predicted Storsioe is proven to be a hoax (H$20 at 35%)
6 weeks ago
vengeur predicted Storsioe is proven to be a hoax (H$500 at 31%)
more

Comments (8)

I intended the question to be "confirmed to be real?"
posted 12 weeks ago
@ notablenotices -- The best way to get a category editor's attention to request an edit like this is to hit the 'flag for review' link - the little icon next to the market graph. (At the current time you can only flag a market once.) It's also helpful to post the correction here in the comments (as you have done) -- alerting other users to your intended text.
posted 12 weeks ago
@newswrangler - thanks for the tip. I just did as you suggested.
posted 12 weeks ago
  4 dieseldog
first bigfoot now the lochness monster. i'll bet casper will be appearing soon :O)
posted 12 weeks ago
  5 tisha[Admin]
thanks for the question! I think every country should have their own loch ness monster, even if they are all just a hoax!
posted 12 weeks ago
it would be so cool to uncover a new species...think of all the people saying "told you so"
i was really interested in seeing the pics/video, so i followed the link. its kind of hard to make out what is actually captured on film and to me its difficult to put size in to perspective. after clicking around on the provided link page, it brought me to the following page: (which has a few more videos) http://www.storsjoodjuret.nu/bildarkiv.html
here is the YouTube version as well (which i think is a combo of the ones on the other link): http://www.abc.net.au/news/video/youtube.htm?v=8qqdBNxecXk
posted 12 weeks ago
Thanks for adding the picture!

Yeah, I think these stories are kind of fun :-)
posted 12 weeks ago
;)
posted 12 weeks ago

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