Created Fri 29th Aug 8:29pm PDT by 
thomismydad![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user")
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Which one of these evil doers will die first or will none of them die before 12/31/09?
Current forecast: None will die before 12/31/2009 (32% chance
1%)
1%)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is None will die before 12/31/2009 with a probability of 32% (down 1% in last 1 day)
I know death pools get a bad rap by some people, but I think this is one we all can get behind. I was just watching a Dateline special about Charles Manson and it inspired me.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Make your prediction!
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Charles Manson |
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Richard Ramirez (The Night Stalker) |
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Osama Bin Laden |
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Denis Rader (the BTK killer) |
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Drew Peterson (husband of Staci Peterson) |
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Terry Nichols |
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OJ Simpson |
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Gary Ridgway (The Green River killer) |
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Joel Rifkin |
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None will die before 12/31/2009 |
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Activity: H$5,821
Question suspends in 1 year
Suspend date: Wed 23rd Dec 2009 11:59pm PST (1 year to go)
Initial likelihoods: Charles Manson: 10%, Richard Ramirez (The Night Stalker): 10%, Osama Bin Laden: 10%, Denis Rader (the BTK killer): 10%, Drew Peterson (husband of Staci Peterson): 10%, Terry Nichols: 10%, OJ Simpson: 10%, Gary Ridgway (The Green River killer): 10%, Joel Rifkin: 10%, None will die before 12/31/2009: 10%
Action history:
Created Fri 29th Aug 8:29pm PDT by thomismydad
thomismydad
Suspended Fri 29th Aug 9:03pm PDT by 
newswrangler: Flagged by super user: Suspended pending edit of question.
See comment #1.
newswrangler: Flagged by super user: Suspended pending edit of question.
See comment #1.
Unsuspended Sat 30th Aug 5:39am PDT by 
jenniandboys![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
: Market has been edited
jenniandboys: Market has been edited
Suspend date: Wed 23rd Dec 2009 11:59pm PST (1 year to go)
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Get widget!Predictions (31)
31 predictions
stevie
101airborne
thepeoplegeekllc
neuronexmachina
cookietimeComments (14)
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This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
score: 10
Chicago Tribune 1 day ago
Former Bolingbrook Police Sgt. Drew Peterson scored a victory Thursday after a Will County judge dismissed felony gun charges against him that had stemmed from the investigation into his missing wife, Stacy.'It's a
score: 10
Chicago Tribune 2 days ago
Gun charges against Drew Peterson were dropped today because the Will County state's attorney's office refused to comply with a judge's order to hand over all documents leading up to its
score: 10
Chicago Tribune 2 days ago
A Will County judge Thursday permitted former Bolingbrook Police Sgt. Drew Peterson's legal team to use 'vindictive prosecution' as a defense in Peterson's gun case. As part of that defense, Peterson's attorney Joel Brodsky is asking that prosecutors
score: 10
score: 10
Chicago Tribune 4 days ago
Former Bolingbrook Police Sgt. Drew Peterson has met with Jeffery Leving, a Chicago attorney who specializes in the rights of divorced fathers, to talk about a possible divorce from his fourth wife, Stacy, who has
Not that I necessarily think he's innocent but if you redo this, I think OJ may be the only one on the list that was acquitted....
@ thomismydad -- there is no reason to redo this question. I have flagged your requested edit to the attention of a category editor. While H$500 was wagered during the minute it took me to do that, those wagers can be voided if the user requests it, based on their understanding of the question before it is edited.
I stand corrected, yes OJ was found liable in the subsequent civil trial, his name stood out for me when I glanced at this list, I think, although I'm not certain that he may be the only one that is not currently incarcerated for the crime that is most associated with him.
How about an ALL WILL DIE option?
But, I've got to agree with randburg.
Another interesting 'regular' market could be "Next on FBIs Top Ten to be Caught". Any takers, I'm on some meds today, and wouldn't want to screw it up.
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