Home Hubdub logo
 
Guest account   Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's play money, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
Home
Leaderboards
Forums
My Predictions

Will the heavy toilet flusher be evicted in 2008?

Current forecast: 42% chance 1%
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 42% likely to happen (down 1% in last 1 day)

http://www.thewest.com.au/default.aspx?MenuID=358&ContentID=91300

A woman who wakes her neighbor by repeatedly flushing the lavatory at night is facing eviction from her home.

Mwynwen Jones, 57, has lived in her council house in Tremadog, Gwynedd, for more than 20 years but angered another resident by banging her bathroom door and pulling the chain at all hours of the night.

The High Court in London heard that Mrs Jones was guilty of nothing more than making run-of-the-mill "household noises".


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source. If she is evicted in 2008 the market settles as yes.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Make your prediction!

Yes
42%
No
58%
Activity: H$33,910
Question suspends in 5 weeks

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 49%

Action history:

Created Sat 30th Aug 1:32am PDT by curios
Suspended Sat 30th Aug 5:33am PDT by jenniandboys[Admin]: Flagged by admin: Appears to be duplicate: http://www.hubdub.com/m14416/Will_the_heavy_toilet_flusher_be_evicted_in_2009
Unsuspended Sat 30th Aug 5:50am PDT by ryanj[Admin]: Due to the market not having the same suspend date and the author's intent to be asking about 2008 the market may remain open.

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (35)

35 predictions

18 hours ago
rogerkni predicted No (H$570 at 58%)
6 days ago
youbet predicted No (H$500 at 57%)
6 days ago
youbet predicted No (H$500 at 56%)
4 weeks ago
bernardo predicted No (H$200 at 52%)
5 weeks ago
the_atheist_prophet predicted No (H$50 at 52%)
more

Comments (9)

I need to clean my glasses... I'm cross eyed and seeing double

http://www.hubdub.com/m14416/Will_the_heavy_toilet_flusher_be_evicted_in_2009
posted 12 weeks ago
FoF - Thanks good catch.
posted 12 weeks ago
  3 ryanj[Admin]
Hi,

Due to the market not having the same suspend date and the author's intent to be asking about 2008 the market may remain open. The suspend date is different on this one (ends in 2008) I think I'm getting what Curios's has been trying to do. So we can keep this market up. He was accidentally putting 2009 as the year instead of 2008 in the market question.

Ryan
posted 12 weeks ago
  4 bayoubear[Admin]
What's next....getting a neighbor evicted for 'passing gas' too loudly??

And it was stated that neighbors could hear her ironing!

What is there to hear....I think the complaint should be about the neighbors of this poor woman!
posted 11 weeks ago
  5 curios
@ all the original was altered hence i put it back as was and to bayoubear it was a news item originating in the UK
posted 11 weeks ago
  6 frank2877
LOL! If this happened in the U.S. the poor neighbor would have been sent to sensitivity training. :-)
posted 10 weeks ago
  7 clahey
If this ends at the end of 08, can't people make money by predicting no the day before? Or yes if it does happen?
posted 10 weeks ago
  8 dieseldog
@clahey...as long as anybody predicts the outcome before it happens they win. if you make a prediction after it happens the bet is voided..ie your money returned with no prophet.
posted 10 weeks ago
  9 dieseldog
@clahey..yes you can predict the day before the settlement is made on some questions. when it gets closer to the end of 08 money will pour into the market. i've been burned 3 times doing that. lets say dec 30 you bet $5,000 on no. then on the 31st they evict her..bye bye $5,000.
posted 10 weeks ago

Please log in or join to add a comment

What is Hubdub?

Hubdub makes news more exciting by letting you stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real running news stories.

Join now   or   learn more