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Will the heavy toilet flusher be evicted in 2008?

Settled as Yes

From the latest reports from the BBC it appears that the toilet flusher was evicted as the the last news story cited her being removed with no possibility of not being removed
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/wales/north_west/7608569.stm

Background:

Background: http://www.thewest.com.au/default.aspx?MenuID=358&ContentID=91300

A woman who wakes her neighbor by repeatedly flushing the lavatory at night is facing eviction from her home.

Mwynwen Jones, 57, has lived in her council house in Tremadog, Gwynedd, for more than 20 years but angered another resident by banging her bathroom door and pulling the chain at all hours of the night.

The High Court in London heard that Mrs Jones was guilty of nothing more than making run-of-the-mill "household noises".

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source. If she is evicted in 2008 the market settles as yes.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
48%
No
52%
Settled as Yes on Thu 1st Jan 8:15pm PST

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 1st Jan 8:15pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 49%

Action history:

Created Sat 30th Aug 2008 12:32am PST by curios
Suspended Sat 30th Aug 2008 4:33am PST by jenniandboys[Admin]: Flagged by admin: Appears to be duplicate: http://www.hubdub.com/m14416/Will_the_heavy_toilet_flusher_be_evicted_in_2009
Unsuspended Sat 30th Aug 2008 4:50am PST by ryanj: Due to the market not having the same suspend date and the author's intent to be asking about 2008 the market may remain open.
Suspended Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Thu 1st Jan 10:29am PST by elly: No
Settlement requested Thu 1st Jan 4:10pm PST by pixelpaws: No final report on whether or not she lost her home over the incident.
Settled as 'Yes' Thu 1st Jan 8:15pm PST by ryanj: From the latest reports from the BBC it appears that the toilet flusher was evicted as the the last news story cited her being removed with no possibility of not being removed
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/wales/north_west/7608569.stm

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 1st Jan 8:15pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (56)

46 weeks ago
pixelpaws predicted No (H$5,000 at 86%)
46 weeks ago
fellcolor predicted No (H$1,750 at 84%)
46 weeks ago
twalker1030 predicted No (H$20 at 72%)
46 weeks ago
paulkg predicted No (H$100 at 72%)
46 weeks ago
peterwindlehill predicted No (H$50 at 72%)

Comments (16)

I need to clean my glasses... I'm cross eyed and seeing double

http://www.hubdub.com/m14416/Will_the_heavy_toilet_flusher_be_evicted_in_2009
posted 1 year ago
FoF - Thanks good catch.
posted 1 year ago
  3 ryanj
Hi,

Due to the market not having the same suspend date and the author's intent to be asking about 2008 the market may remain open. The suspend date is different on this one (ends in 2008) I think I'm getting what Curios's has been trying to do. So we can keep this market up. He was accidentally putting 2009 as the year instead of 2008 in the market question.

Ryan
posted 1 year ago
  4 bayoubear[Admin]
What's next....getting a neighbor evicted for 'passing gas' too loudly??

And it was stated that neighbors could hear her ironing!

What is there to hear....I think the complaint should be about the neighbors of this poor woman!
posted 1 year ago
  5 curios
@ all the original was altered hence i put it back as was and to bayoubear it was a news item originating in the UK
posted 1 year ago
  6 frank2877
LOL! If this happened in the U.S. the poor neighbor would have been sent to sensitivity training. :-)
posted 1 year ago
  7 clahey
If this ends at the end of 08, can't people make money by predicting no the day before? Or yes if it does happen?
posted 1 year ago
  8 dieseldog
@clahey...as long as anybody predicts the outcome before it happens they win. if you make a prediction after it happens the bet is voided..ie your money returned with no prophet.
posted 1 year ago
  9 dieseldog
@clahey..yes you can predict the day before the settlement is made on some questions. when it gets closer to the end of 08 money will pour into the market. i've been burned 3 times doing that. lets say dec 30 you bet $5,000 on no. then on the 31st they evict her..bye bye $5,000.
posted 1 year ago
  10 elly
Hello Ryanj,
I would like to ask you why this settlement was not done 3 mounth ago? Because yor link date from
15:10 GMT, Wednesday, 10 September 2008 16:10 UK. And if you do it now, why the bets which are been made it after this date aren't voided?
posted 46 weeks ago
  11 kruijs[Power User]
Hello elly,
Although your point might be valid, why don't you use the flag for review link to ask this question?
As an experienced user you will know about this feature and you will be aware that postings in the comments might not be noticed by the cat-ed.
posted 46 weeks ago
  12 curios
you will notice (elly and kruijs) i never made a wager, it lost me when no one voided as fof noted on #1 the one that made him cross eyed i asked and asked and asked it was allowed to float i hope you both said yes
posted 46 weeks ago
  13 predicta
I flagged this for review. Old article from September does not confirm anything.
I bet recently that she would not be evicted. I stand by my bet as being correct.
posted 46 weeks ago
  14 curios
hey predicta on the same question that i asked to be deletd it read as this one but was dated for 2009 they have given the reverse answer useing the same link as the reason for saying no. its a case of people in high places gaming
posted 46 weeks ago
  15 elly
Yes, there is some misunderstanding here. I flagged for applying prediction cut-off, because my bets are dated after the cited article and I think that this is the correct way for settlement.
posted 46 weeks ago
  16 ryanj
Hi everyone,

I looked into just about 5 minutes ago and it seems that the prediction cut-off didn't go through for this market. It should have canceled all predictions after the 10th of September but when I input the settlement time, it didn't work. I think it defaulted to 2009, September 10th because I settled it in 09 and not 08. Or I may have just fouled up when putting the time in. I have a feeling it's the latter :-(

Anyway though I've redone the settlement so everyone who had predictions made after the 10th of September have had there funds returned. Apologies for not understanding what people were on about at first, but thanks for replying back to let me better understand.

Have users received emails stating that your predictions on the market were now canceled?

Regards,
Ryan
posted 46 weeks ago

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