Created Sat 30th Aug 2008 5:21am PST by 
valornhonor
valornhonor 
Per Social Security Admin, how many of the Palin's kids names make Top 1000 list for 2008?
Settled as Two of these names makes Top 1000 in 2008
Background: Alaska Governor Sarah Palin was 'introduced' to much of the United States this week when she was selected by Republican Senator, John McCain to be his running mate on the GOP ticket for President. Mrs. Palin and her husband Todd have five children whose names are somewhat unique. They are Track, Bristol, Willow, Piper and Trig. Using the Social Security Database for the 1,000 most popular names chosen by Americans for their children each year, how many of these five names do you anticipate will be on the Top 1,000 list for 2008?
There is a strong chance that at least two of the names; Willow and Piper will be on the list. Willow has made the Top 1,000 list for the past 10 years, the highest being 1998 at 853 and the lowest was 2007 with 430. Piper has made the list the past 9 years, but it has also been in decline a bit, highest year was 1999 at 700 and just 240 in 2007.
Safest best would appear to be 2 out of 5, but Governor Palin's exposure and/or popularity may give a bump to these names, or possibly even the more obscure names of Willow and Piper's siblings; Track, Bristol and Trig.
Please refer to this link for more information including a box where you can input a name and check it's popularity.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/cgi-bin/babyname.cgi
There is a strong chance that at least two of the names; Willow and Piper will be on the list. Willow has made the Top 1,000 list for the past 10 years, the highest being 1998 at 853 and the lowest was 2007 with 430. Piper has made the list the past 9 years, but it has also been in decline a bit, highest year was 1999 at 700 and just 240 in 2007.
Safest best would appear to be 2 out of 5, but Governor Palin's exposure and/or popularity may give a bump to these names, or possibly even the more obscure names of Willow and Piper's siblings; Track, Bristol and Trig.
Please refer to this link for more information including a box where you can input a name and check it's popularity.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/cgi-bin/babyname.cgi
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Forecast history %
| None of these names make Top 1000 in 2008 |
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| One of these names makes Top 1000 in 2008 |
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| Two of these names makes Top 1000 in 2008 |
| |||
| Three of these names make Top 1000 in 2008 |
| |||
| Four of these names make Top 1000 in 2008 |
| |||
| All five names make Top 1000 in 2008 |
|
Settled as Two of these names makes Top 1000 in 2008 on Fri 8th May 2009 11:58am PST
- Activity: H$10,899 |
- Predictions: 57 |
Comments: 4
Suspend date: Fri 8th May 2009 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 8th May 2009 11:58am PST
Initial likelihoods: None of these names make Top 1000 in 2008 : 3%, One of these names makes Top 1000 in 2008: 5%, Two of these names makes Top 1000 in 2008 : 65%, Three of these names make Top 1000 in 2008: 20%, Four of these names make Top 1000 in 2008: 5%, All five names make Top 1000 in 2008: 2%
Action history:
Created Sat 30th Aug 2008 5:21am PST by valornhonor
valornhonor
Changed Description Thu 23rd Oct 2008 9:17am PST by 
chris![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
: show details
chris: show details ... 1,000 list for 2008? <?<br/> <br/> <br/> There is ... and just 240 in 2007. <.<br/> <br/> Safest best would ... and check it's popularity. <.<br/> <br/> <a href='http://
Settlement requested Mon 29th Dec 2008 4:07pm PST by 
buckeyetom
: The baby's name is Tripp Easton Mitchell Johnston.
Source: People Mag.
http://www.people.com/people/article/0,,20245389,00.html
buckeyetom: The baby's name is Tripp Easton Mitchell Johnston.
Source: People Mag.
http://www.people.com/people/article/0,,20245389,00.html
Settlement requested Fri 8th May 2009 10:24am PST by 
tarpash
: 2008 baby names stats were released today: http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/babynames/.
Only Willow and Piper were in the top 1000, but each made gains in popularity. A Palin effect? But Bristol, Trig, and Track did not appear in the top 1000. Should be settled as "only 2". Thanks!
http://www.ssa.gov/cgi-bin/babyname.cgi
http://www.ssa.gov/cgi-bin/babyname.cgi
tarpash: 2008 baby names stats were released today: http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/babynames/.
Only Willow and Piper were in the top 1000, but each made gains in popularity. A Palin effect? But Bristol, Trig, and Track did not appear in the top 1000. Should be settled as "only 2". Thanks!
http://www.ssa.gov/cgi-bin/babyname.cgi
http://www.ssa.gov/cgi-bin/babyname.cgi
Settlement requested Fri 8th May 2009 11am PST by 
smidge76: Should settle as Two.
Willow rose 21 spots to #408, Piper rose 68 spots to #172. The other three names still didn't make the ltop 1000.
smidge76: Should settle as Two.
Willow rose 21 spots to #408, Piper rose 68 spots to #172. The other three names still didn't make the ltop 1000.
destry
Suspend date: Fri 8th May 2009 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 8th May 2009 11:58am PST details 
Get widget!Predictions (57)
predicted One of these names makes Top 1000 in 2008 (H$2,000 at 16%)
predicted Two of these names makes Top 1000 in 2008 (H$50 at 57%)
donnamil
dlking58Comments (4)
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If the last two administrations are any indication though, the question might actually be coming a year too soon for us to see a bump. Out of curiosity, I looked up the name, Jenna, to see if President Bush gave it a bump. In 2000 while Bush was campaigning, it had declined to #64 from #61. However, after he took office in 2001, it jumped up to #45. It declined slowly in the years to follow until 2006 and 2007 when it declined rapidly...perhaps following Bush's own popularity ratings?? :) (The name Barbara didn't seem to be impacted, but I wouldn't expect people to snatch that one up anyway)
Lest the Republicans feel picked on, I'll also point out that the name Chelsea was moving steadily up the list through 1992, and then began a fairly significant and steady decline from 1993 on (from #15 in 1993 to #209 in 2007). Maybe its true that conservatives hate the Clintons more than the liberals love them...or maybe politics have no effect on baby names. Interesting to note that it followed the same pattern though...moving in one direction all the way through the election year, and then changed direction the year that Dad took office. Well, interesting to me anyway, but I'm a geek.
By the way, despite this, I still put my money on one more name being added to the list. It looks like most years it takes a little less than 200 births to make the boys list. Trig and Track are names that I could envision hearing at the playground, and since they are so unusual I think they might grab people's attention. There have got to be a few expecting parents watching the political coverage who are still fighting over names, right? So maybe Palin's kids will buck the trend.
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