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Created Sat 30th Aug 9:04am PDT by jenniandboys[Admin]
All questions » Politics » US Election 2008 » 

Will Sarah Palin's biography video include that Trig has Down's Syndrome?

Settled as No

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h7swzN6T-38

No mention of Down's Syndrome

Background:

As a relative unknown, the RNC has a unique opportunity to use Sarah's bio video to define her to the voters. This video will be much more important than most bio videos and should offer some good insight as to what the Republicans think Mrs Palin brings to the campaign. There are a number of interesting elements to her biography, will they include the fact that her youngest son has Down's Syndrome?


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source. Must explicitly state that he has Down's Syndrome.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

 Yes
72%
No
28%
Activity: H$93,238
Settled as No on Thu 4th Sep 4:24pm PDT

Suspend date: Wed 3rd Sep 5pm PDT Settlement date: Thu 4th Sep 4:24pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 3rd Sep 5pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 30%

Action history:

Created Sat 30th Aug 9:04am PDT by jenniandboys[Admin]
Suspended Wed 3rd Sep 5pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Thu 4th Sep 5:48am PDT by Erik: no mention of Down's Syndrome last night.
Settlement requested Thu 4th Sep 2:15pm PDT by Erik: Here's the bio:
http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-8666279401478685825&ei=QE_ASKuzG4i6_AGMiOnzCQ&q=palin+bio&vt=lf&hl=en
No mention of any illness at all. Please settle this market.
Settlement requested Thu 4th Sep 4:15pm PDT by Erik: Another link to the RNC Palin bio video:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h7swzN6T-38
Please settle as "No."
Settled as 'No' Thu 4th Sep 4:24pm PDT by destry[Admin]: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h7swzN6T-38

No mention of Down's Syndrome

Suspend date: Wed 3rd Sep 5pm PDT Settlement date: Thu 4th Sep 4:24pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 3rd Sep 5pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (200)

200 predictions

12 weeks ago
rwsmith13 predicted Yes (H$50 at 72%)
12 weeks ago
simplynone predicted Yes (H$100 at 72%)
12 weeks ago
thillerson predicted Yes (H$50 at 72%)
12 weeks ago
rootehound predicted Yes (H$100 at 79%)
12 weeks ago
concorddawn predicted Yes (H$100 at 79%)
more

Comments (22)

  1 fingers_of_fury
@jenni - another great question... thanks!

I can't wait to see the bio video and learn more about her.
posted 13 weeks ago
  2 triathematician
"Trig" is such a cool name. Granted, we did name our son after continuous functions on topological spaces. :-)
posted 13 weeks ago
  3 jenniandboys[Admin]
@tri - Wow you're such a geek! (Oh um.. wait...)
posted 13 weeks ago
  4 dieseldog
thanks for all the questions tri and jenni. must be a rainy day at the tri & jenni house :O)
posted 13 weeks ago
  5 destry[Admin]
I am glad to start seeing Tri writing markets again. One thing about them is that you know you will have to pay attention, some of the smartest questions on the site.
posted 13 weeks ago
  6 bayoubear[Admin]
Does she (or the voiceover) have to actually say Downs Syndrome.....or can they refer to it in another way?

Trying to avoid settlement issues.....
posted 13 weeks ago
  7 jenniandboys[Admin]
Gee Bayoubear, did you know that the best way to get a category editor's attention for clarification is to flag a question? Oh you did? Good.

Yes, they need to explicitly state that he has Down's Syndrome in the biography video. Its not enough to just say that he was born premature or is "special". I thought that was clear in the background, but I'll make it explicit in the settlement details.
posted 13 weeks ago
  8 jenniandboys[Admin]
Man, they better air these videos. My void rate is going to really suck if they don't!
posted 13 weeks ago
  9 bayoubear[Admin]
Jenni....I thought you paid attention to everything I said....regardless of where it appeared....(imagine the smiley-face here, I don't like emoticons)

Yep...I should have done a flaggy-thingie....my bad.....
posted 13 weeks ago
  10 tisha[Admin]
now I'm trying to guess your kid's name ... polynomial? cos? it's been a while since I did math ...
posted 13 weeks ago
  11 newswrangler[Power User]
"Before her speech, the convention will be shown a video about her made by Sen. McCain's creative director, Fred Davis, narrated by actor Jon Voight." -- Wall Street Journal
posted 13 weeks ago
  12 newswrangler[Power User]
Breaking News -- Sarah Palin's video canceled at last minute.

(what was that about void rate? ;-)

Maybe they will show it later in the convention?
posted 12 weeks ago
  13 Erik
Why hasn't this settled?
posted 12 weeks ago
  14 kruijs[Power User]
Maybe you should give the admin a chance to settle after requesting settlement. Maybe he's just "not available" for a few minutes - duh, he might even be not available for a few hours per day (you know, sleeping).

Providing a link to a newsource reporting the reason why you wish the question to be settled could speed up things a little though.
posted 12 weeks ago
  15 jenniandboys[Admin]
We're hoping they'll air the video tonight... If they don't all the bio video questions will be voided :(
posted 12 weeks ago
  16 destry[Admin]
@erik - I sent you an email at 8:58 am this morning less than 11 minutes after you requested settlement. I am going to wait until this evening and see if they show the Biography video then. In the event the biography video is not shown market will be voided. We can all blame Rudy Guiliani for not sticking to him time limits for the reason of cancellation. Part of me believes that they will want to show that video, so I am holding out hope.
posted 12 weeks ago
  17 Erik
oh gee, krujis...a newssource would wake him up? duh, I should've realized that....you're so wise, thank you for the enlightenment.
posted 12 weeks ago
  18 Erik
destry...you can blame Rudy for anything you like...something tells me you will, anyway. Part of me believes that Palin did a superb job last night and that there is no need to show a "Palin video" on McCain's night, but we'll see.
posted 12 weeks ago
  19 Erik
jenni...thank you. a simple answer is all I requested---the other's B.S. I can do without.
posted 12 weeks ago
  20 Erik
Fox News just showed Palin's "Bio video" released by the RNC...no mention of any health problems at all. No link on the RNC's or Fox's sites yet.
posted 12 weeks ago
  21 Erik
The vaunted Palin bio:
http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-8666279401478685825&ei=QE_ASKuzG4i6_AGMiOnzCQ&q=palin+bio&vt=lf&hl=en
posted 12 weeks ago
  22 Erik
Another link to the RNC Palin bio video:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h7swzN6T-38
posted 12 weeks ago

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