Created Sun 31st Aug 2008 3:32am PST by
fredwilson

Will Sarah Palin step down as the VP nominee before the november election?
Settled as No
Background: the well known author steven johnson predicted this on twitter on August 29th.
http://twitter.com/stevenbjohnson/statuses/903572195
let's bet on it
http://twitter.com/stevenbjohnson/statuses/903572195
let's bet on it
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
- Activity: H$337,381 |
- Predictions: 388 |
Comments: 50
Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Tue 4th Nov 2008 10:36am PST
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 25%
Action history:
Created Sun 31st Aug 2008 3:32am PST by
fredwilson
Settlement requested Tue 4th Nov 2008 10:08am PST by
newswrangler![This user is a super user [Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif)
: Winning prediction = "No".
Palin did not step down before the election.
Palin did not step down before the election.
Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Tue 4th Nov 2008 10:36am PST details
Predictions (388)
Comments (50)
Related News
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
score: 10
Washington Post 1 year ago
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Republican vice presidential nominee Sarah Palin released a summary of her medical history late on Monday as the 2008 U.S. presidential race drew to a close. The 44-year-old Alaska governor has had
score: 10
News24.com 1 year ago
US Elections Special Report Washington - Whether or not Republican presidential candidate John McCain is elected next week, his running mate, Alaska Governor Sarah Palin, plans to remain on the US national political scene, ABC News reported on Wednesday.
score: 10
AFP via Yahoo! 1 year ago
AFP//File ? US Vice President Dick Cheney, seen here on October 15, 2008, on Saturday hailed Republican presidential ? Slideshow: U.S. Vice President Dick Cheney Play Video Video: Biden speaks in Ohio CNN Play Video Video: WRAL News REWIND:
score: 10
Wall Street Journal Online 1 year ago
MarketWatch's Jon Friedman talks about Time magazine's Nathan Thornburgh and his coverage of Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, running as the vice presidential candidate on the Republican ticket with Sen. John McCain. (Oct. 31) Time Magazine's Nathan Thornburgh
score: 10
US News 1 year ago
If the GOP ticket wins, she will of course serve as John McCain's vice president. And Republican strategists say McCain will give her some major assignments, especially as a prime advocate for more domestic energy development. This would make good use of

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McCain -- right or wrong -- can't afford to admit that messing with the glass ceiling was a huge booboo. IMHO I think he failed to pick up that the real issue was "Hillary"...Isn't this like requesting something special for a Christmas Wish, but what is under the tree is "close", but not what you wanted at all?
For McCain to gamble his entire election on a fairly junior, "substitute Hillary" is a terrific risk in my thinking...Does this indicate how he will run the US as President?
Thinking out loud, a fascinating question comes to mind:
If the hurricane does hit New Orleans and the Republican Convention is delayed or converted into a "volunteer rescue effort", will this help McCain divert attention away from the strange choice of VP candidate? Could he be saved by a hurricane?
In fairness, I guess we need to keep an open mind and watch how the Republican Convention plays out...
If she steps down, will we get all those hubdub dollars back that we lost on McCain's choice of Vice President?
No, I didn't think so...
http://img364.imageshack.us/img364/4628/sarahpalinla4.png
Interesting question. I would like to see how it plays out over the next month.
Not be selected at the convention next week: now THAT is a possibility...
I may have to research this and change my bet.
I don't see the problem here. To put a skew on Mrs. Obama's utterance: For the first time in years, I'm proud to be a Republican.
It might be put in the context of family-related, but it would be self interest, not family interest.
If she cared about her family, she would not be putting stress on her daughter to rush into a marriage, etc.. etc... and under the scrutiny of the press for the rest of their lives, without their consent..(no time for that)..
http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepage/news/columnists/fergus_shanahan/article1647092.ece
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/09/26/kathleen-parker-after-int_n_129535.html
Your right, my link is to an article that is only citing only one conservative writer. However, I might point out that commentators Peggy Noonan and and Mike Murphy were caught on tape making disparaging remarks and claiming that she was a disastrous decision that potentially put the entire campaign at risk; Peggy Noonan went so far as to state "It's over." That is, obviously, not a statement regarding stepping down; however, such a statement really has to make you wonder what conservatives are saying behind closed doors.
I don't think Sarah Palin would ever decide to step down of her own accord--I don't think she knows the meaning of the word retreat. What I'm concerned with is could some group of conservatives mount a reasonable intervention? With what recently happened in the stock market, I would expect the Republicans to panic a little. "Suspending" the campaign seemed like panic to me. They might scramble enough to scrap their VP nomination and put someone else in. Don't you think there's a good argument for saying Romney or Carly Fiorina could handle this crisis?
At any rate, sorry for the inaccurate plural.
Please see my comment in http://www.hubdub.com/m17157/Will_the_ObamaMcCain_debate_happen_on_Friday_
It was a poker move, im my eyes...quite gutsy and it served it's purpose: to divert Obama's attention from his preperations for tonight's debate. Pretty slick for an old guy, I'd say.
On NBC, Joe Biden was invited to give his opinions as a reply for the Democrats. He did. Sarah Palin was invited to give her opinions of the debate for the Republicans. THE REPUBLICAN PARTY DECLINED ON HER BEHALF, and Rudi Giuliani gave a spirited appearance. Maybe Giuliani should have been the Republican VP choice...
Besides, if she is going to be Vice President of the United States -- and possibly President -- why does she have a "right" to be the only candidate that avoids interviews? Hopefully she will present herself well at the Vice Presidential debate. Martha Stewart must be working with her 24 hours a day now...
1: "Obama is the clear choice for people not afraid to move forward. I want my leader to be someone who's ready to be in charge" I'm sorry however all you are going to get from a man who has never been tested, doesnt have any experience in politics, and entire knowledge of Presidential affairs was learned when running for president is inaction. Same thing we got from him in senate. Inaction. He is not ready to be in charge.
2: "I would never accept a PTA mom's assuming she can assist OR be my school Superintendent just because she's been in the building and knows kids" She has children therefore she has the knowledge of what every mother wants for there kids. She started small and she built her way up. She knows the trials of the average mother. And she knows how most government branches, from city council up, operate and what there abilitys are. in other words she is the "Vp of the people". Your right no tough choices at all! MCCAIN! MCCAIN!
1) Community involvement and state government don't count
2) Community involvement and state government are all that matters
1: He isnt experienced and his breif history in politics was littered with inaction.
2: She is experienced and she is very active in politics
Not contradictory in the slightest.
http://www.obamapedia.org/page/Does+Barack+Obama+have+enough+experience+to+be+president%3F?t=anon
By DON HUNTER, SEAN COCKERHAM and WESLEY LOY
Anchorage Daily News
Published: October 10th, 2008 05:59 PM
Last Modified: October 10th, 2008 06:09 PM
A legislative investigation has concluded that Gov. Sarah Palin abused her power in pushing for the firing of an Alaska state trooper who was once married to her sister, or by failing to prevent her husband Todd from doing so.
ARLINGTON, VA — McCain-Palin 2008 spokeswoman Meg Stapleton issued the following statement on today’s release of Stephen Branchflower’s report:
“Today’s report shows that the Governor acted within her proper and lawful authority in the reassignment of Walt Monegan. The report also illustrates what we’ve known all along: this was a partisan led inquiry run by Obama supporters and the Palins were completely justified in their concern regarding Trooper Wooten given his violent and rogue behavior. Lacking evidence to support the original Monegan allegation, the Legislative Council seriously overreached, making a tortured argument to find fault without basis in law or fact. The Governor is looking forward to cooperating with the Personnel Board and continuing her conversation with the American people regarding the important issues facing the country.”
http://gretawire.foxnews.com/2008/10/10/just-in-mccain-palin-statement/
October 10, 2008, Anchorage, Alaska – Governor Sarah Palin’s communications director Bill McAllister released the following statement on the report issued today from Steve Branchflower:
“The so-called ‘Troopergate’ incident began with Governor Palin’s removal of Walt Monegan as commissioner of public safety. Today, investigator Steve Branchflower vindicated the governor by finding that she acted within her constitutional authority to remove ‘at-will’ employees.
“However, along with several members of the Legislative Council, we question how Mr. Branchflower reached the conclusion that Governor Palin abused her power with respect to Trooper Mike Wooten. That finding required speculation and assumptions on Mr. Branchflower’s part and could not be supported solely on the basis of the evidence that he collected. We agree with the comments made that Alaskans should consider the report in total rather than relying solely on the findings.”
The Office of the Governor has released the depositions of the seven state employees named in the investigation, which include their testimony regarding internal administration discussions about Mike Wooten. The documents can be accessed at the following links:
http://www.gov.state.ak.us/pdf/Affidavit_Randy_Ruaro.pdf
http://www.gov.state.ak.us/pdf/BaileyTranscript_8-27-08.pdf
http://www.gov.state.ak.us/pdf/BradThompsonAnswers_Signed.pdf
http://www.gov.state.ak.us/pdf/CommissionerKreitzerAnswers_Signed.pdf
http://www.gov.state.ak.us/pdf/DianneKieselAnswers_Signed.pdf
http://www.gov.state.ak.us/pdf/JaniceMasonAnswers_signed.pdf
http://www.gov.state.ak.us/pdf/Letter_SenateJudiciary_10-08-2008.pdf
http://www.gov.state.ak.us/pdf/Email_January-29-30-2008.pdf
http://www.gov.state.ak.us/pdf/Email_March-2-2008.pdf
http://www.gov.state.ak.us/pdf/Email_October-18-2007.pdf
http://www.gov.state.ak.us/pdf/IvySubpoenaResponses.pdf
The nearly 300-page report does not recommend sanctions or a criminal investigation.
http://elections.foxnews.com/2008/10/10/panel-palin-abused-power-firing-commissioner/
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