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Gustav and Katrina: Who will use them for political gain first?
I could see a Democratic ad bashing the Katrina response with a "too little too late" message, or a Republican ad narrating McCain and Palin's empathy and caring in the current crisis.
This campaign season has been all about the ads so far, so who will make an ad first mentioning either Katrina or Gustav in either word or picture?
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source. Only ads released for TV count (no web ads). Must be released by either the McCain or Obama campaign (no PAC ads)
Settled
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Obama campaign |
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McCain campaign |
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None by Sep 26 |
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Suspend date: Tue 23rd Sep 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Thu 2nd Oct 12:19pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 23rd Sep 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Obama campaign: 30%, McCain campaign: 30%, None by Sep 26: 40%
Action history:
jenniandboys jenniandboys: None by Sep 26 
mcmaz: Tough to prove a negative - but none of the folks who wagered on one of the campaigns has given a source for an ad that does mention one of the two. I haven't seen any. It's been a week since the question was suspended. 
destry
Suspend date: Tue 23rd Sep 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Thu 2nd Oct 12:19pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 23rd Sep 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (143)
143 predictions
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jenniandboys
266 settled, 16 voided
DNC has much more to gain from using Katrina.
RNC has no business bringing up the Katrina disaster,
and Gustov was not (thankfully) as destructive a storm as predicted.
The GOP's decision to delay their convention, to provide relief efforts, went largely unnoticed.
It is hard to really be a hero, if nobody is saved during the process.
Without wanting to sound too cynical, I am wagering Obama's campaign will be first.
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