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Will there be reports of looting in New Orleans when Hurricane Gustav strikes?

Settled as Yes

http://www.cnn.com/video/#/video/weather/2008/09/01/bpr.nagin.gustav.nola.cnn?iref=videosearch
http://www.nola.com/hurricane/index.ssf/2008/09/six_hospital_patients_die_duri.html

Background:

When Hurricane Katrina, looting was indeed widespread. Will there be any reports of looting when or after Hurricane Gustav strikes?


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
58%
No
42%
Activity: H$47,460
Settled as Yes on Mon 1st Sep 6:36pm PDT

Suspend date: Wed 3rd Sep 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Mon 1st Sep 6:36pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 1st Sep 3:40pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 40%

Action history:

Created Sun 31st Aug 11:12am PDT by parsleysauce
Settlement requested Mon 1st Sep 3:23pm PDT by randburg: Unfortunately, looting DID take place:

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/9131493/
Settlement requested Mon 1st Sep 3:29pm PDT by randburg: My apology! The newsline I listed was from Katrina, not Gustav! Sorry!
Suspended Mon 1st Sep 3:33pm PDT by infernalmachine[Admin]: Flagged by admin: Suspended pending settlement
Unsuspended Mon 1st Sep 3:33pm PDT by infernalmachine[Admin]: False alarm.
Settlement requested Mon 1st Sep 3:43pm PDT by onedave[Power User]: Please settle as 'yes.' Another reason for Nagin's relative relaxation: only one person had been caught looting. Nagin told CNN that this lone criminal was "sitting on a bus, handcuffed, getting ready to go to Angola prison." http://www.cnn.com/video/#/video/weather/2008/09/01/bpr.nagin.gustav.nola.cnn?iref=videosearch
Settlement requested Mon 1st Sep 6:02pm PDT by thepeoplegeekllc: NPR Reports looting arrest in New Orleans.

http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=94176190
Settlement requested Mon 1st Sep 6:33pm PDT by onedave[Power User]: Please settle as 'yes.' He said two individuals were arrested for looting of a damaged business in Houma.

http://www.nola.com/hurricane/index.ssf/2008/09/six_hospital_patients_die_duri.html

Suspend date: Wed 3rd Sep 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Mon 1st Sep 6:36pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 1st Sep 3:40pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (113)

113 predictions

13 weeks ago
quorny predicted No (H$100 at 33%)
13 weeks ago
theib predicted Yes (H$100 at 67%)
13 weeks ago
excontender predicted Yes (H$100 at 67%)
13 weeks ago
longlive35mm predicted No (H$532 at 32%)
13 weeks ago
p0tramp predicted No (H$6 at 31%)
more

Comments (12)

They have instituted a dusk to dawn curfew to help with the looting, but ... http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,414166,00.html
posted 13 weeks ago
  2 frank2877
"any reports of looting" That's a no brainer in an empty city with hurricane damage.
posted 13 weeks ago
  3 ryanb37
READ ALL BEFORE Sending a nasty reply
um and they wonder why people said it looked like a bunch of savages durring Katrina.
Granted there was no plan in place but come on people if you have to steal
for survival thats one thing but looting tv's and stuff that is why some people
have steriotypes when you do stuff like that you make them Justified in their
Bigotry (sp) they see the Tv and say well it figures they are all thiefs. Like i
said my money is on more looting because people dont care about others they want
to make them self better off at the expence of another person that has lost everything
then blame the President with stupid ignorant comments like George Bush doent like
Black people.. Ya know what Kanye West doesnt like White people or anyone else for that
matter HE is the BIGGEST RACIST around well Him and Jessie Jackson. but im not
going there. NOW before you repost calling me racist please know that some of my
best friends are all different races and One of my best friends is black and feel the
same way i do
posted 13 weeks ago
  4 tisha[Admin]
I'm interested about the 'go straight to jail' card played by the mayor - maybe this can settle based on whether anyone is jailed as a result of looting?
posted 13 weeks ago
  5 mraleigh
Ryanb37,
Normally I don't reply to flame-baiters but since you decided to throw your soap box front and center, I'll give you something to chew on. There's an old saying, the way you see the world is a reflection of how you see yourself. Liars tend to believe that everyone is dishonest, cheaters always think they are getting the raw end of the deal, and bigots seem to think they are the ones who are being discriminated against. Now, I'm not saying any of these apply to you but the fact that you have friends who are minorities doesn't automatically mean you aren't racist. In fact, your use of the point as a rationalization technique tends to suggest otherwise. Before you reply, I would suggest first looking closely at your rant and ask yourself, does this statement show off your intellect or does it exemplify your ignorance? Something to think about while you are looking in the mirror.
posted 13 weeks ago
@ tisha -- the best way to find out how a question will settle is to flag your request to the attention of a category editor, by clicking on the "Flag for review" link to the right of the prediction graph. This sends an email directly to the appropriate category editor.

I made my predictions based on my read of the question, and the background, as, "Will there be any reports of looting when or after Hurricane Gustav strikes?"
posted 13 weeks ago
@newswrangler - LOL!!!
posted 13 weeks ago
  8 ryanj[Admin]
Hi,

As Roger said for this market we'll go by any reports from the media regarding looting as per the market question. I'd also just like to remind users that engaging in flame wars and or lewd conversations is not permitted on the site.

Regards,
Ryan
posted 13 weeks ago
  9 onedave[Power User]
One person was arrested for looting on Sunday night.
http://995fm.com/cc-common/news/sections/newsarticle.html?feed=135361&article=4175068
posted 13 weeks ago
  10 ryanb37
Mraleigh,
I knew some one would say something along that lines. I am not nor have i ever
been a racist, so lets clear that up front. if you would have read what i wrote then
you would have known that. and i do not belive that someone that was racist would
associate with people from other races. all I am saying is that when certin people
act a certin way they are feeding the steriotypes of people who are ignorant. is it
right NO but it happens. think out of the box here.. lets say you were raised to think
all Canadians were violent and had no respect for athority, then you watch tv and
a Canadian hockey team just won the Stanley(wont happen) and they go to the streets
in celebration and turn over cop cars and riot... Now wouldnt that make you feel
more justified in your steriotype eventhough it is a SMALL sample of the population
I belive it would
so IN CLOSING Im no racist
posted 13 weeks ago
houma is NOT new orleans, just for the record
posted 13 weeks ago
  12 htlsales
Houma isn't New Orleans. However, we have watched New Orleans television news all day long. They reported looting in the city, but didn't give details. I can't imagine a deserted city with no looting. :-)
posted 13 weeks ago

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