Created Sun 31st Aug 11:20am PDT by akashkreddy

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RNC: How many people will watch Mccain's Nomination Acceptance Speech

This market will be double settled for 30-40 and 40+
Nielson reports that there were 39 million (the figure usually quoted in the press) BUT some figures include the PBS estimates which say there were 42.4 million watching. Since the market does not offer a specific settlement source other than AP (who quotes both figures), the market will pay out both 30-40 and 40+
(Note in the future, all TV ratings/viewership questions will specify Nielson)
http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5hOVHiLf-OP1vG10s5TE22I1z17TwD930S7U81

Background:

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source. AP

RNC: How many people will watch Mccain's Nomination Acceptance Speech

    Less than 20 Million Viewers

    20-30 Million Viewers

    30-40 Million Viewers

    More than 40 Million Viewers

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Forecast history, %

   Zoom in

Settled

	Less than 20 Million Viewers	2%
	20-30 Million Viewers	9%
	30-40 Million Viewers	88%
	More than 40 Million Viewers	1%

Activity: H$24,712

Settled as More than 40 Million Viewers on Sun 7th Sep 11:06am PDT

Suspend date: Thu 4th Sep 5pm PDT Settlement date: Sun 7th Sep 11:06am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 4th Sep 5pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Less than 20 Million Viewers: 15%, 20-30 Million Viewers: 35%, 30-40 Million Viewers: 35%, More than 40 Million Viewers: 15%

Action history:

Created Sun 31st Aug 11:20am PDT by akashkreddy

Suspended Thu 4th Sep 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached

Unsuspended Thu 4th Sep 3:37am PDT by jenniandboys: Reopened until tonight's speech

Suspended Thu 4th Sep 5pm PDT : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Sat 6th Sep 5:29pm PDT by swilson: 38.9 Million
http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20080905/tv_nm/mccain_dc_1

Settlement requested Sun 7th Sep 8:21am PDT by rbrog77: I heard on Meet the Press that it was 39 million

Settlement requested Sun 7th Sep 10:32am PDT by akashkreddy: 39 Million Viewers

Settled as '30-40 Million Viewers' Sun 7th Sep 11:05am PDT by jenniandboys: This market has double settled for 30-40 and 40+
Nielson reports that there were 39 million (the figure usually quoted in the press) BUT some figures include the PBS estimates which say there were 42.4 million watching. Since the market does not offer a specific settlement source other than AP (who quotes both figures), the market will pay out both 30-40 and 40+
(Note in the future, all TV ratings/viewership questions will specify Nielson)
http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5hOVHiLf-OP1vG10s5TE22I1z17TwD930S7U81

Previous action withdrawn Sun 7th Sep 11:06am PDT by jenniandboys: Also allowing 40+ settlement

Settled as 'More than 40 Million Viewers' Sun 7th Sep 11:06am PDT by jenniandboys: This market will be double settled for 30-40 and 40+
Nielson reports that there were 39 million (the figure usually quoted in the press) BUT some figures include the PBS estimates which say there were 42.4 million watching. Since the market does not offer a specific settlement source other than AP (who quotes both figures), the market will pay out both 30-40 and 40+
(Note in the future, all TV ratings/viewership questions will specify Nielson)
http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5hOVHiLf-OP1vG10s5TE22I1z17TwD930S7U81

hide

Suspend date: Thu 4th Sep 5pm PDT Settlement date: Sun 7th Sep 11:06am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 4th Sep 5pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
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Predictions (88)

88 predictions

12 weeks ago

tkohler predicted 20-30 Million Viewers (H$100 at 8%)

12 weeks ago

dragonfangxl predicted 20-30 Million Viewers (H$100 at 6%)

12 weeks ago

dragonfangxl predicted 20-30 Million Viewers (H$100 at 4%)

12 weeks ago

joaoxxx predicted More than 40 Million Viewers (H$20 at 1%)

12 weeks ago

rbrog77 predicted 30-40 Million Viewers (H$4,000 at 91%)

more

12 weeks ago

tkohler predicted 20-30 Million Viewers (H$100 at 8%)

12 weeks ago

dragonfangxl predicted 20-30 Million Viewers (H$100 at 6%)

12 weeks ago

dragonfangxl predicted 20-30 Million Viewers (H$100 at 4%)

12 weeks ago

joaoxxx predicted More than 40 Million Viewers (H$20 at 1%)

12 weeks ago

rbrog77 predicted 30-40 Million Viewers (H$4,000 at 91%)

12 weeks ago

ucc360 predicted 30-40 Million Viewers (H$50 at 78%)

12 weeks ago

corbanbrook predicted 20-30 Million Viewers (H$100 at 13%)

12 weeks ago

handl2008 predicted 30-40 Million Viewers (H$50 at 80%)

12 weeks ago

jhouseholder predicted Less than 20 Million Viewers (H$10 at 6%)

12 weeks ago

jhouseholder predicted More than 40 Million Viewers (H$10 at 2%)

12 weeks ago

ucc360 predicted 30-40 Million Viewers (H$50 at 82%)

12 weeks ago

evhershey predicted 20-30 Million Viewers (H$100 at 26%)

12 weeks ago

infernalmachine predicted 20-30 Million Viewers (H$190 at 24%)

12 weeks ago

deelilley predicted Less than 20 Million Viewers (H$50 at 16%)

12 weeks ago

swilson predicted More than 40 Million Viewers (H$200 at 5%)

12 weeks ago

hippyboomer predicted 20-30 Million Viewers (H$220 at 21%)

Showing recent public predictions only

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Comments (4)

  1 cici

this is under entertainment?

posted 12 weeks ago

  2 jenniandboys

Yeah, its kind of debateable since its about tv ratings (Entertainment) but about the RNC (politics)... Some questions fit into multiple categories!

posted 12 weeks ago

  3 chatarra

I think this is in the correct category since it will be televised during primetime.
I am voting on "Less than 20 Million Viewers" because I think people are getting burned out with the conventions and RNC probably appeals to a smaller base than DNC to begin with.

posted 12 weeks ago

  4 notablenotices

This was a great question with exciting results too!!!

posted 12 weeks ago

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