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Will any commercial ship attempt the Arctic's North-East passage before September '09?

Settled as Yes

"BERLIN, Aug 21 (Reuters) - Two German ships set off on Friday on the first journey across Russia's Arctic-facing northern shore without the help of icebreakers after climate change helped opened the passage, the company said. Niels Stolberg, president and CEO of Beluga Shipping GmbH, said the "Beluga Fraternity" and "Beluga Foresight" left the Russian port of Vladivostok on the historic and cost-saving journey with cargo picked up in South Korea bound for Holland."

http://www.reuters.com/article/latestCrisis/idUSLL657934

Background:

Background: A Bremen based shipping company, Beluga Group, says in 2009 they will be the first to utilize the recently thawed North-East passage North of Russia.

2008 will allegedly be the first year of the North Pole's circum-navigability

Related Article:
http://shrunklink.com/ayry

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
79%
No
21%
Settled as Yes on Mon 31st Aug 3:17am PST

Suspend date: Tue 1st Sep 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Mon 31st Aug 3:17am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 21st Aug 12:40pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Sun 31st Aug 2008 11:10pm PST by mork[Power User]
Settlement requested Mon 31st Aug 12:26am PST by orlin: Yes

http://www.reuters.com/article/latestCrisis/idUSLL657934
Settled as 'Yes' Mon 31st Aug 3:17am PST by sqlman[Admin]: "BERLIN, Aug 21 (Reuters) - Two German ships set off on Friday on the first journey across Russia's Arctic-facing northern shore without the help of icebreakers after climate change helped opened the passage, the company said. Niels Stolberg, president and CEO of Beluga Shipping GmbH, said the "Beluga Fraternity" and "Beluga Foresight" left the Russian port of Vladivostok on the historic and cost-saving journey with cargo picked up in South Korea bound for Holland."

http://www.reuters.com/article/latestCrisis/idUSLL657934

Suspend date: Tue 1st Sep 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Mon 31st Aug 3:17am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 21st Aug 12:40pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (99)

11 weeks ago
hslee43 predicted No (H$20 at 22%)
11 weeks ago
craig814 predicted Yes (H$50 at 78%)
11 weeks ago
aland predicted No (H$100 at 21%)
12 weeks ago
nanotube predicted No (H$20 at 21%)
12 weeks ago
oberon predicted No (H$50 at 21%)

Comments (4)

Does seem like a risk.
posted 1 year ago
  3 rogerkni
"Beluga ships to sail northeast passage":
http://www.joc.com/node/412702
posted 16 weeks ago
  4 rogerkni
Here's the latest. Still waiting for Russian permission:

http://nauticallog.blogspot.com/2009/08/northeast-passage.html
posted 14 weeks ago

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