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Steve Fossett: Will his friends find his remains?

Settled as No

The search for Steve Fossett has been called off
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/n/a/2008/09/09/state/n155557D61.DTL&tsp=1

Background:

It's now been one year since Steve Fossett, the multimillionaire aviator and adventurer went missing on a solo flight over Nevada.

Although declared dead by court in February, his remains have never been found. In fact, theories have been circulated that his death was a hoax, driven by Fossett's money and lovelife troubles.

Fossett's friends are now waging a new search in the dense forest that is to run until September 10.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source. Question will be settled based on news reports on September 10. Findings of any body or plane parts that are confirmed to be Fossett will result in settlement as 'yes'.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
8%
No
92%
Activity: H$91,604
Settled as No on Wed 10th Sep 9:11am PDT

Suspend date: Wed 10th Sep 4:59pm PDT Settlement date: Wed 10th Sep 9:11am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 9th Sep 3:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 20%

Action history:

Created Mon 1st Sep 4:58am PDT by tisha[Admin]
Suspended Mon 1st Sep 7:55am PDT by newswrangler[Power User]: Flagged by super user: Suspended pending review by category editor.

Duplicate of <http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/Will_Steve_Fossett_be_found_alive_or_dead_in_2008_978/view>?
Unsuspended Tue 2nd Sep 2:56am PDT by tisha[Admin]: ruled to be not a dupliate
Suspended Wed 10th Sep 9:05am PDT by newswrangler[Power User]: Suspended pending settlement
Settlement requested Wed 10th Sep 9:05am PDT by newswrangler[Power User]: Winning prediction = "No"

Search by his friends has been called off.

<http://www.krnv.com/Global/story.asp?S=8980782>

"Search for Steve Fossett is called off"

<http://www.tahoedailytribune.com/article/20080910/NEWS/109109997>

Prediction cut-off: Posted: Sep 9, 2008 07:13 PM PDT (market suspended)
Settled as 'No' Wed 10th Sep 9:11am PDT by tisha[Admin]: The search for Steve Fossett has been called off
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/n/a/2008/09/09/state/n155557D61.DTL&tsp=1

Suspend date: Wed 10th Sep 4:59pm PDT Settlement date: Wed 10th Sep 9:11am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 9th Sep 3:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (53)

53 predictions

11 weeks ago
curios predicted No (H$5,000 at 96%)
12 weeks ago
rhoan74 predicted No (H$246 at 97%)
12 weeks ago
jaspersoddity predicted No (H$2,500 at 97%)
12 weeks ago
bency predicted No (H$200 at 96%)
12 weeks ago
opie predicted No (H$100 at 94%)
more

Comments (2)

  1 curios
there is a difference here one asks will he be found alive the other my his friends its a moot point but then friends may not find him
http://www.hubdub.com/m15002/Steve_Fossett_Will_his_friends_find_his_remains
posted 13 weeks ago
  2 tisha[Admin]
Hi curios - I can see what you're saying. This question is asking specifically whether Fossett will be found in the current 2 week search. This search is is being spearheaded by his friends. So, I guess if he is found during this search, his friends will have found him.
posted 13 weeks ago

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