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Where in the U.S. will Hurricane Hanna make landfall?

Settled as Hanna makes landfall anywhere as TS/TD

Hannah made landfall as TS

http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5g8-DEMtAE9q4i4ySQ0eV_qZefmRQD93145UG0

Background:

Similar to the Gustav question here: http://www.hubdub.com/m14404/Which_region_will_Gustav_hit_as_a_Hurricane_first_Caribbean_not_included

This question only considers U.S. states, not territories or other countries. Question asks where storm will make landfall.

1. Doesn't make landfall - question voided
2. Makes landfall in two states - question will be settled and resettled to pay out both options
3. Wanders around - 'landfall' implies where it first hits land, so only the first state where the eye crosses will count
4. Makes landfall in a non-US state - question voided


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Florida
2%
Georgia
5%
South Carolina
13%
North Carolina
11%
Hurricane Hanna makes landfall in any other state
0%
Hanna makes landfall anywhere as TS/TD
69%
Activity: H$88,332
Settled as Hanna makes landfall anywhere as TS/TD on Sat 6th Sep 4:08am PDT

Suspend date: Thu 4th Sep 10am PDT Settlement date: Sat 6th Sep 4:08am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 6th Sep 12:20am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Florida: 13%, Georgia: 30%, South Carolina: 35%, North Carolina: 10%, Hurricane Hanna makes landfall in any other state: 2%, Hanna makes landfall anywhere as TS/TD: 10%

Action history:

Created Mon 1st Sep 1:31pm PDT by tarpash
Suspended Thu 4th Sep 10am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Fri 5th Sep 5:54pm PDT by curios: please settled as still tropical storm and also as question asks about other states and south Carolina was also hit
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at3+shtml/205301.shtml?3day#contents
Settled as 'Hanna makes landfall anywhere as TS/TD' Sat 6th Sep 4:08am PDT by ryanj[Admin]: Hannah made landfall as TS

http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5g8-DEMtAE9q4i4ySQ0eV_qZefmRQD93145UG0

Suspend date: Thu 4th Sep 10am PDT Settlement date: Sat 6th Sep 4:08am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 6th Sep 12:20am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (256)

256 predictions

12 weeks ago
comte predicted Hanna makes landfall anywhere as TS/TD (H$5,000 at 38%)
12 weeks ago
jhouseholder predicted Hanna makes landfall anywhere as TS/TD (H$50 at 46%)
12 weeks ago
jhouseholder predicted Hanna makes landfall anywhere as TS/TD (H$10 at 45%)
12 weeks ago
infernalmachine[Admin] predicted North Carolina (H$100 at 19%)
12 weeks ago
infernalmachine[Admin] predicted South Carolina (H$100 at 23%)
more

Comments (12)

  2 cognos[Power User]
update ...

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/26496933/
posted 13 weeks ago
  4 bigken1
I couldnt find an answer if it just wanders around. So i put $ into the last two categories to cover the case, if Hanna does not make landfall in a US state, as this is "any other state"... like the state of non-existence.... but I am not sure this is what was meant. Any comments?
posted 12 weeks ago
  5 bigken1
tarpash, like these questions.. keep them coming..bigken
posted 12 weeks ago
  6 tisha[Admin]
Good point bigken. Here are some possible scenarios:

1. Doesn't make landfall - question voided
2. Makes landfall in two states - question will be settled and resettled to pay out both options
3. Wanders around - 'landfall' implies where it first hits land, so only the first state where the eye crosses will count
4. Makes landfall in a non-US state - question voided

Oh, and 'Any other state' does not cover the state of non-existence, but nice ty ;-)
posted 12 weeks ago
  7 comte
Does Puerto Rico count as a state for this question?
posted 12 weeks ago
  8 comte
Because, you know, she could just say 'screw it' and go back out. :D
posted 12 weeks ago
  9 cognos[Power User]
@comte, as per the background information provided ...

"This question only considers U.S. states, not territories or other countries. Question asks where storm will make landfall."
posted 12 weeks ago
  10 curios
it is not a hurricane but still a topical storm.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at3+shtml/211321.shtml?3day#contents
posted 12 weeks ago
  11 tarpash
From the NHC:

"MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...115 KM/HR...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALTHOUGH NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS
FORECAST BEFORE LANDFALL...IT WOULD ONLY TAKE A SMALL INCREASE IN
WIND SPEED FOR HANNA TO BECOME A HURRICANE."

Hanna only needs to have sustained winds at 74 mph to become a Cat 1 hurricane. This is going to be close!
posted 12 weeks ago
  12 comte
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT3+shtml/060854.shtml

00
WTNT33 KNHC 060854
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HANNA ADVISORY NUMBER 38
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
500 AM EDT SAT SEP 06 2008

...HANNA MOVES ASHORE AS A TROPICAL STORM...
posted 12 weeks ago

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