
Where in the U.S. will Hurricane Hanna make landfall?
Hannah made landfall as TS
http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5g8-DEMtAE9q4i4ySQ0eV_qZefmRQD93145UG0
Background:>
This question only considers U.S. states, not territories or other countries. Question asks where storm will make landfall.
1. Doesn't make landfall - question voided
2. Makes landfall in two states - question will be settled and resettled to pay out both options
3. Wanders around - 'landfall' implies where it first hits land, so only the first state where the eye crosses will count
4. Makes landfall in a non-US state - question voided
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Settled
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Florida |
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Georgia |
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South Carolina |
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North Carolina |
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Hurricane Hanna makes landfall in any other state |
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Hanna makes landfall anywhere as TS/TD |
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Suspend date: Thu 4th Sep 10am PDT Settlement date: Sat 6th Sep 4:08am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 6th Sep 12:20am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Florida: 13%, Georgia: 30%, South Carolina: 35%, North Carolina: 10%, Hurricane Hanna makes landfall in any other state: 2%, Hanna makes landfall anywhere as TS/TD: 10%
Action history:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at3+shtml/205301.shtml?3day#contents
http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5g8-DEMtAE9q4i4ySQ0eV_qZefmRQD93145UG0
Suspend date: Thu 4th Sep 10am PDT Settlement date: Sat 6th Sep 4:08am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 6th Sep 12:20am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Predictions (256)
256 predictions
Comments (12)
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http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/26496933/
1. Doesn't make landfall - question voided
2. Makes landfall in two states - question will be settled and resettled to pay out both options
3. Wanders around - 'landfall' implies where it first hits land, so only the first state where the eye crosses will count
4. Makes landfall in a non-US state - question voided
Oh, and 'Any other state' does not cover the state of non-existence, but nice ty ;-)
"This question only considers U.S. states, not territories or other countries. Question asks where storm will make landfall."
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at3+shtml/211321.shtml?3day#contents
"MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...115 KM/HR...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALTHOUGH NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS
FORECAST BEFORE LANDFALL...IT WOULD ONLY TAKE A SMALL INCREASE IN
WIND SPEED FOR HANNA TO BECOME A HURRICANE."
Hanna only needs to have sustained winds at 74 mph to become a Cat 1 hurricane. This is going to be close!
00
WTNT33 KNHC 060854
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HANNA ADVISORY NUMBER 38
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
500 AM EDT SAT SEP 06 2008
...HANNA MOVES ASHORE AS A TROPICAL STORM...
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