Home Hubdub logo
 
Guest account   Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's play money, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
Home
Leaderboards
Forums
My Predictions

In what place by market share will Google's new browser Chrome be for Aug 09?

Current forecast: Fourth (63% chance27%)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Fourth with a probability of 63% (up 27% in last 1 day)

Google has announced they are releasing their new open-source browser (beta-version) Sept 2, 2008. Washington Post article

Currently (August 2008) the market share for browsers is : MS IE (72.15%), Firefox (19.73%), Safari (6.37%), Opera (0.74%), Mozilla (0.10%) and other assorted browsers (0.17%). http://marketshare.hitslink.com/report.aspx?qprid=0

Is Chrome the IE beater? Will it shame Firefox? What position in market share (high to low) will the Chrome browser have a year from launch? [using figures from http://marketshare.hitslink.com]

This will settle based on the August 2009 figures released on Sept 1 2009.


Settlement details: As reported by http://marketshare.hitslink.com/report.aspx?qprid=0 for August 2009 on Sept 1, 2009.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Make your prediction!

First (better than even IE)
8%
Second
8%
Third
13%
Fourth
63%
Fifth
5%
Sixth
1%
Seventh or lower OR not available OR tied
3%
Activity: H$80,909
Question suspends in 37 weeks

Suspend date: Tue 25th Aug 2009 4:59pm PDT (37 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: First (better than even IE): 1%, Second: 7%, Third: 13%, Fourth: 21%, Fifth: 24%, Sixth: 19%, Seventh or lower OR not available OR tied: 15%

Action history:

Created Mon 1st Sep 4:04pm PDT by infernalmachine[Admin]

Suspend date: Tue 25th Aug 2009 4:59pm PDT (37 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (359)

359 predictions

1 day ago
sheizaf predicted Fourth (H$100 at 63%)
1 day ago
rogerkni predicted Fourth (H$3,000 at 49%)
1 day ago
aleksejenko predicted First (better than even IE) (H$500 at 9%)
3 days ago
rogerkni predicted Fourth (H$500 at 36%)
3 days ago
rogerkni predicted Fourth (H$100 at 32%)
more

Comments (15)

http://books.google.com/books?id=8UsqHohwwVYC&printsec=frontcover#PPA1,M1

This is the comic that introduced Chrome.
posted 13 weeks ago
  2 scott
I just downloaded it. It kicks IE and FF's ass. And it's Beta. WOW.

http://www.shoutwire.com/comments/190368/Google_Chrome_Download_Link.html
posted 13 weeks ago
  3 greggles
45% chance in first place ahead of IE?!?!

Hubdub is clearly showing a "tech-early-adopter" bias.

/me makes more purchases of the rest of the contracts =D
posted 13 weeks ago
  4 destry[Admin]
I gotta say that so far chrome is fast and easy.
posted 13 weeks ago
  5 scott
It looks better than IE and FF. It's faster. It imported everything without a single problem and I like it better. Why not better than IE - I've already just dumped FF.
posted 13 weeks ago
  6 scott
It's fast and easy and if one of the tabs crashes it just crashes that one tab... not all of em.
posted 13 weeks ago
  7 scott
When I hit a new link I've never seen a browser open faster. Amazing speed.
posted 13 weeks ago
  8 destry[Admin]
Did you notice that the default search engine is culi and not Google.
posted 13 weeks ago
  9 gadget666
I really cannot see any browser overtaking internet explorer, given that many people are not even aware that they have a choice. it toom me a good ten minutes to convince my father that there was actually another browser out there other than internet explorer, he thought it was like windows explorer and could not be supplanted.
posted 13 weeks ago
  10 cognos[Power User]
They claim that apps can be written, taking advantage of some communication between tabs (frames, in a previous incarnation).
In a W3C ( http://www.w3c.org ) compliant browser, sibling frames could not communicate with each other, unless the parent window.document specifically allows access to it's functions. This could still be a mess in disquise. I'm going to hang low and test against some hefty javascript. I'll let you know what I find, if anything, interesting.
posted 13 weeks ago
  11 cognos[Power User]
Well, in just a few minutes, using different, but standard display settings, here some initial findings ...

Google's Chrome may sound sexy, but ...
The current rendering engine is not compliant with w3c specification. (Easy javascript image manipulation is not even close).
The CSS style "position:absolute" is totally helpless. Once again, it does comply, and therefore, many new sites don't look so good anymore.
For some reason, getting a 'handle' on document objects does not seem as clean as it should.

However, and this may blow you away, but more than likely not ...


I ran the same test on MSIE 8 beta, and the results, while similar in nature, were not as profound.

Note: The series of tests were passed on MSIE 7, and the latest versions of Flock, Mozilla, Netscape, Opera, Safari, and 4 other browsers.

So, the waiting game begins.
;)
posted 13 weeks ago
I'm visiting this page on chrome! Within 5 minutes of downloading it i decided that i no longer needed Mozzila so i uninstalled it. However there have been a few bugs with my email since i used it. I think that its a tie between IE and Chrome. Not to mention the glitches it has with clicking. Still its only a beta
posted 13 weeks ago
  14 pembeci
Be careful about the privacy if you are going to use it:

http://news.google.com.tr/news?as_q=chrome+privacy&svnum=10&as_scoring=r&as_drrb=b&as_mind=3&as_minm=9&as_maxd=4&as_maxm=9&as_occt=any&aq=f

By default, it sends a lot of information back to Google about your browsing habits.
posted 12 weeks ago
  15 faisal
Google Analytics is saying 2% so far, putting it in 4th. That seems like a biased sample, though:

http://www.betanews.com/article/Google_Analytics_starts_tracking_Chrome_with_intriguing_results/1220642170
posted 12 weeks ago

Please log in or join to add a comment

What is Hubdub?

Hubdub makes news more exciting by letting you stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real running news stories.

Join now   or   learn more