Created Mon 1st Sep 5:09pm PDT by

onedave [Power User]

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What will be the most number of losses by an MLB team in 2008?

Settled as Exactly 102

The Nationals finished with 102 losses. No other team can lose more games.
http://mlb.mlb.com/mlb/standings/

Background:

On September 1, the Mariners and Padres were 53-83 (pace for 99 losses) and the Nationals were 53-85 (pace for 100 losses). MLB teams play 162 games. However, rained-out games may be canceled. The current standings are here: http://mlb.mlb.com/mlb/standings/

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history, %

Zoom in

Settled

Less than 97

Exactly 97

Exactly 98

Exactly 99

Exactly 100

Exactly 101

34%

Exactly 102

44%

Exactly 103

At least 104

Activity: H$45,948

Settled as Exactly 102 on Sun 28th Sep 5:14pm PDT

Suspend date: Sun 28th Sep 10am PDT Settlement date: Sun 28th Sep 5:14pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 28th Sep 10am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Less than 97: 1%, Exactly 97: 2%, Exactly 98: 4%, Exactly 99: 15%, Exactly 100: 30%, Exactly 101: 25%, Exactly 102: 13%, Exactly 103: 9%, At least 104: 1%

Action history:

Created Mon 1st Sep 5:09pm PDT by

onedave [Power User]

Suspended Sun 28th Sep 10am PDT : Suspend date reached

Suspended Sun 28th Sep 2:54pm PDT by

onedave [Power User]

: Suspended pending settlement

Settlement requested Sun 28th Sep 2:54pm PDT by

onedave [Power User]

: Please settle as 'Exactly 102.' The Nationals finished with 102 losses. No other team can lose more games.
http://mlb.mlb.com/mlb/standings/ (market suspended)

Settled as 'Exactly 102' Sun 28th Sep 5:14pm PDT by

mrperfkt [Admin]

: The Nationals finished with 102 losses. No other team can lose more games.
http://mlb.mlb.com/mlb/standings/

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Predictions (173)

173 predictions

9 weeks ago

bigh165 predicted Exactly 101 (H$500 at 31%)

9 weeks ago

bigh165 predicted Exactly 102 (H$500 at 45%)

9 weeks ago

kennyk predicted Exactly 102 (H$600 at 38%)

9 weeks ago

kennyk predicted Exactly 101 (H$700 at 29%)

9 weeks ago

cartographer predicted Exactly 101 (H$20 at 13%)

Comments (1)

buckeyetom

This is a very good question.

posted 9 weeks ago

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