Created Mon 1st Sep 6:05pm PDT by
moonglow
All questions » Politics » US Politics » 
Will President Bush issue preemptive pardons before leaving office?
Current forecast: 74% chance
1%
1%
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 74% likely to happen (down 1% in last 1 day)
Several ongoing Congressional investigations target either members of Bush's staff (e.g., Rove), or deal with alleged misconduct associated with the "War on Terror." There is speculation that GWB may issue preemptive pardons to protect those who supported his policies from conviction under the aegis of a future administration.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
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Activity: H$96,745
Question suspends in 6 weeks
Suspend date: Tue 20th Jan 2009 9pm PST (6 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%
Action history:
Created Mon 1st Sep 6:05pm PDT by
moonglow
Settlement requested Today 2:31pm PST by
rk725: Bush issued pardons.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_people_pardoned_by_George_W._Bush
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_people_pardoned_by_George_W._Bush
Suspend date: Tue 20th Jan 2009 9pm PST (6 weeks to go)
more info...
Predictions (301)
301 predictions
Comments (11)
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score: 10
Washington Post 2 weeks ago
As President Bush's term nears its end, rumors abound that he will grant a lot of final pardons. Hundreds of clemency applications have been filed with the Justice Department in the past year, a reflection of the popular belief that pardoning is an
score: 10
NewsMax.com 2 weeks ago
comment Monday. Additionally, the question of whether to prosecute may never become an issue if Bush issues pre-emptive pardons to protect those involved. Obama has committed to reviewing interrogations on al-Qaida and other terror suspects. After he
score: 10
CHINAdaily 2 weeks ago
comment Monday. Additionally, the question of whether to prosecute may never become an issue if Bush issues pre-emptive pardons to protect those involved. Obama has committed to reviewing interrogations on al-Qaida and other terror suspects. After he
score: 10
Toronto Star Online 2 weeks ago
comment today. Additionally, the question of whether to prosecute may never become an issue if Bush issues pre-emptive pardons to protect those involved. Obama has committed to reviewing interrogations on al Qaeda and other terror suspects. After he
score: 10
Boston Globe 2 weeks ago
comment Monday. Additionally, the question of whether to prosecute may never become an issue if Bush issues pre-emptive pardons to protect those involved. Obama has committed to reviewing interrogations on al-Qaida and other terror suspects. After he




With his closeness to God, I think he will even issue religious pardons on behalf of his staff. By the way, can he pardon himself?
That is the one, who really needs the greatest pardon. After all, isn't that where the buck stops?
"A presidential pardon may be granted at any time, however, and as when Ford pardoned Nixon, the pardoned person need not yet have been convicted or even formally charged with a crime."
"9. The power of pardon conferred by the Constitution upon the President is unlimited except in cases of impeachment. It extends to every offence known to the law, and may be exercised at any time after its commission, either before legal proceedings are taken or during their pendency, or after conviction and judgment. The power is not subject to legislative control.
10. A pardon reaches the punishment prescribed for an offence and the guilt of the offender. If granted before conviction, it prevents any of the penalties and disabilities consequent upon conviction from attaching."
Source: Cornell University Law School website: http://www.law.cornell.edu/supct/html/historics/USSC_CR_0071_0333_ZS.html
As mentioned by bout3fitty, the pre-emptive pardon was used by Ford to pardon Nixon, and is sometimes mentioned as the leading factor in his defeat in the 1976 election against Carter.
Also, Factcheck.org recently was asked the question, and responded on their website:
http://www.factcheck.org/askfactcheck/can_a_president_issue_a_blanket_pardon.html
Great question. It's certainly relevant as there has been a lot of speculation on the matter in the media. Some sources say that Bush is being pushed by conservatives to exercise this option for official involved in his "counterterrorism" programs. Please note that I expressing no opinion as to the reliability of these sources...primarily blogs and the NY Times... I am merely noting that it has been reported/rumored. To me, 50/50 odds seem as good a starting place as any.
http://www.hubdub.com/m21447/How_many_pardons_will_George_W_Bush_issue_before_he_leaves_office
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